Originally posted by YACBros85:
Originally posted by Giedi:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
Originally posted by Giedi:
Originally posted by Dshearn:
Originally posted by Giedi:
Originally posted by Dshearn:
Originally posted by NCommand:I agree....that passes the eye test....
Originally posted by YACBros85:
True Pass Set Pressure Rate rankings by True Pass Set Snaps.
I do want to give the PP a bit more credit here even though these appear pretty accurate even by the eye test.
Brock currently has a 2.81 TTT (NextGen) which is middle of the pack. Typically under Kyle, all of his QB's have been top 5 in fastest TTT...like Tagovailoa in Miami (#1 @ 2.36) rendering PP as moot as possible.
In addition, Brock is 12th in air yards @ 8.3. In short, by holding the ball longer, and attempting longer intermediate and deeper passes, it puts more stress on PP (the whole unit).
Context.
There is time to throw (subjective, how long till pressure effects the QB) and time till throw, the latter tracks from snap to throw what the actual time is.
Brock's time till throw (according to FantasyPros) is 2.6 seconds, that is way up from earlier in the season when he was at floating between 2.2 and 2.3 for like half the season. That more or less tracks with the eyeball test. Early in the season we were all commenting how we are not seeing rolls to the left or right or anything.
No one in the NFL has as many 20-30-40-50 combine completions. Brock is tied for 13th for completions 10 yards or less. He is 2nd in 20+, 2nd in 30+, 1st in 40+ and 10th in 50+ ( he has 2 and there are 9 people that are tied with 3) He simply is not looking short, and is holding onto the ball.
Brock does invite pressure looking deep...but for the most part it is working.
Agree💯%, it makes sense that Brock is going for the gusto by throwing longer. His accuracy is insane. It's Drew Brees level.
Just FYI
Brees Last full season he hit 74% of his throws. He had 58 20+ throws, 18 30+ throws, 6 40+ throws.
Compared to a partial season by Brock hitting 70% of his throws with 43 20+ throws, 17 30+throws, 7 40+ throws.
Unless Brock goes down odds are he is going to have more deeper throws than Brees, he already has as many 50+ yard throws...they both have 2, he has more 40+ throws already and will likely have significantly more 30+ yard throws.
Great points. So how does one reconcile Kyle's accurate short passing game centered around the play action run game, vs Purdy's insane long range Brees-like accuracy? I don't know personally, I watched Montana and Young and have never had entertained the thought of tweaking Walsh's offense to add more long ball dimensions under either legendary QB's. But the way Purdy's playing, if Kyle gets more speedsters a la Danny Gray for Purdy, I wouldn't argue - so long as Kyle also drafts the requisite offensive linemen that can hold their pass protections longer. Brock's pinpoint accuracy is just simply *insane.*
Don't get me wrong. I live Kyle's short passing play action game centering around a wonderful back like CMC. I think it's a great system. Great Balance, between pass and run. Great all weather offense - good in bad weather and great in good weather. I think Kyle has a genius in picking running backs from the Kmart Discount Employment Bulltin board ads, so I wouldn't want wholesale changes in his offense - it's plenty good already. It's just that Brock's passing skills are just so *insane.*
I don't think Kyle's passing game is as centered around playaction as much as it used to be. Brock is ranked 21st in playaction dropback rate at 24.1%. Jimmy was ranked 4th in the league in 2019 his only full season at 31.9%. Jimmy had a handful of seasons in his career where he was well over 30%. But even Jimmy for the last 2 seasons with us he had a playaction dropback rate of 27.5% in 2021 and 22.0% in 2022.
24% is still a big number in terms of play calls though. One reason is simply that the 49ers actually can run the ball against 8 man fronts now with the kind of misdirections that the two headed Deebo/CMC WideBack's can offer against a defense.
Not compared to 20 other teams in the NFL though.
There are 32 NFL teams running different systems. Each to his own. I don't think Kyle has changed his offensive system, is my point. 24% is one Quarter of all the playcalls he can make. If you consider Kyle keeping as close to a 50/50 run-pass balance, that climbs to 50% just on the passing side of the equation.
Now if I'm reading your % breakdowns wrong and its 24% of only pass attempts, its still a big number.
[ Edited by Giedi on Nov 26, 2023 at 7:15 AM ]