Originally posted by theduke85:Yeah, nice breakdown. I mostly agree. So, generally with the #1 pick, you think "QB". Failing that, pass rusher is generally the most obvious second choice (barring transcendental prospects at other positions, e.g. Calvin Johnson, Saquon Barkley, etc).
Here's how I look at it:
Cardinals: took Rosen this year, so no chance they go QB. However, I disagree with your assessment on ARI because to take an OL/WR, the player would have to be the same caliber of Bosa (e.g. "all things equal.... we need offensive help more, we'll go OL/WR"). To pick OL/WR over Bosa would be picking need over BPA, and I can't see them passing up Bosa to do that. I don't follow college prospects closely, but I don't know of any OL/WR in the same tier as Bosa this year.
Likelihood of drafting Bosa if given the chance: Very high
Giants: 100% agree with your assessment. The Giants need a QB. This is a lock.
Likelihood of drafting Bosa if given the chance: Remote
Raiders: a small part of me thinks they could trade Carr; Carr has been very mediocre the last year and a half, and his contract (limited dead money beyond this year) is very tradeable. They traded Mack, so why couldn't they trade Carr? Maybe Gruden wants to get "his" guy. So, it's very unlikely, but I could see them maybe going QB in that scenario. Failing that... well, like I mentioned, they just lost Khalil Mack. How's this for a redemption story: "The Oakland Raiders overcome the loss of Premier Pass Rusher Khalil Mack by adding Premier Pass Rusher Joey Bosa".
Likelihood of drafting Bosa if given the chance: A virtual guarantee
Browns: odds be damned, the Browns are too talented to finish worse than the 49ers last year. They're a very respectable team this year. They'd likely take Bosa, but they won't have the chance.
Bills: took Allen this year, so no chance they draft a QB. I basically feel exactly the same about them as I do Arizona.
Likelihood of drafting Bosa if given the chance: Very high
So yeah, I guess I'm probably haggling over minor differences, but I generally agree with you. Unless we finished with 1 or 2 wins, we're probably not getting Bosa.
This is exactly how I feel. The Raiders and Cardinals will take a great pass rusher and we will be screwed so I'm hoping the Raiders can win one more game than us because after all they have their f**king starters what's their excuse? So we are going to get screwed again but it looks like we will get the second best pass rusher
We probably wind up with a top five pick probably going 4-12 Let's just say the fifth pick to be safe. I hope maybe we consider trading up To get Bosa but that's a pipe dream big time with our front office
[ Edited by elguapo on Oct 20, 2018 at 4:41 PM ]
...Damn tanking going to ruin us from getting this stud