Originally posted by eastcoast49ersfan:
Originally posted by Phoenix49ers:
Originally posted by 49erBigMac:
I can't believe I'm agreeing with Rascal but this makes sense.
I believe that DK has enough in the toolbox to be dominant, there's definitely a risk involved and he's not worth a top 5.
If Bosa is gone, and say the Dolphins come with a ridiculous trade offer, out of the players that could be available I would probably only take Burns or MAYBE Ferrell above DK.
I'd be mad as hell if they were drafting in the teens with their first pick. If you look at the overall history of the draft over the past 20 years, your odds of hitting on an upper echelon player by far are greatest in the top 10, once you get into the teens, they tend to drop off quite a bit.
One of the few upsides of having a crappy, losing season is that you get a real crack at the most elite prospects available. To throw that away for a receiver that only managed to stay healthy in one of three years in college would be quite disappointing, I don't care about the compensation. This team has had plenty of quantity in the past. I don't see how putting yourself out of striking range of any elite defensive prospects helps them ultimately.
I have far more trust in Shanahan to scheme up an offense than I do in Saleh to get by with lesser talent.
I think our best shot at landing Metcalf is if we trade down towards the back half of the top 10, land an edge (Burns, Allen, Sweat) and then trade up into the teens with the compensation we got from trading down. If we ended up with Burns and Metcalf with our first 2 picks without giving up anything, I'd be pretty happy. It's very unlikely given how many good receivers could be there for our 2nd and 3rd round picks, but the depth of the WR class (coupled with injury concerns) could cause Metcalf to fall.
I think the important thing to remember about Metcalf is that he's not just a straight line speed guy. He's also a massive target with the equivalent catch radius of a 6'5 receiver like Calvin Johnson.
If we can land an EDGE and Metcalf in the 1st, I would be over the moon.
To me, taking a lesser EDGE e.g. Burns, Seat, Ferrell + Metcalf is a better deal than taking Bosa at 2. I have always maintained Bosa would be overdrafted at 2. The only player worthy for the 2 pick is Q. But, EDGE is the bigger need. If a team calls up on draft day wanting to trade up, I don't see how Lynch and Shanny would be able to refuse to deal.