Originally posted by All22:
Originally posted by genus49:
The thing with the 2nd/3rd tier guys or wherever you rank them is how can you guarantee you get your preference?
Say the 49ers see Pittman as a quality WR and target him. Show of hands who is cool taking him with either first round draft pick?
So then say we're looking at trading down from either pick to acquire day 2 picks with the thought of drafting him there. LOTS of teams with WR needs after 13. What happens if he goes before our pick?
Obviously it's part of the draft process to make your board and drafted based on who you like but you have to also understand where everyone else has players. You don't want to draft a guy likely to go in the 5th round in the first round. But as you work further away from the top guys it's harder to get your favorites.
I guess what I'm saying is someone like Pittman is a tough player to fall in love with if you want him for us because it's so hard to predict where non 1st rounders will go. So unless you're ready to use that 31st pick on him then don't get too attached.
It's also why I like taking the WR at 13. IMO that's likely to be the BPA and you're getting likely the top guy on your board at the position so you get that playmaker and don't have to sweat it out moving forward if you're targeting one of the 2nd/3rd tier guys.
The problem with WR at #13 is no one would be surprised if the Day 2 guys like Mihms, Higgins, Claypool etc are just as good at the NFL level. There's just not THAT big of a gap.
However, the gap between the OL, DB, and DL at #13 vs later is huge.
I get that line of thinking(don't agree with DB though) but thing is at 13 odds are you're looking at the 4th OLman and we have 2 good starters at OT.
Our whole on OL right now is the biggest at RG. That's the spot up for grabs so are you taking that prime pick and then asking the rookie to learn a position he may not have played before in a complex offense? Do you just hand him the starting job and hope for the best?
At WR we have a lot of questions outside of Deebo and Bourne(only under contract for 1 year) you take Ruggs, Jeudy or Lamb and they're pretty much guaranteed to start at some point in the season if not right out of the gate or get serious playing time.
If your OL pick doesn't win the starting job they sit on their ass.
At DL Brown will likely be gone so it's Kinlaw but our DL is a unit. Similar to the OL but unlike the OL one weak link can be covered up with strong studs around them which is what we have. Bosa, X, Armstead, Ford as a pass rush unit won't require player X to be Aaron Donald to be successful. As long as that guy doesn't fall on his ass and knock down another player on the DL we can still do good things with our DL.
WR is basically on an island so at 13 they have the easiest route to major playing time.
I would also say it's fairly common to see guys outside of the first round play well at IOL and IDL positions. Yes you can find excellent WRs later in the draft as well and I'm sure there will be some studs to come out of this class outside the first round but in our situation as long as the player at 13 stays healthy, if it's a WR I'm confident we will not regret that pick. Kyle knows what he wants out of those guys and how to get them the ball.