Originally posted by krizay:
My thoughts is trading down between 18-22. Blue chip is always debatable. Just like Ruggs and Jeudy are even debatable. My preference would be Fulton (or Henderson if available)
As for your last sentence, that too is debatable. If you trade down from 31, the best you're looking at is what a mid 2nd and mid-late 3rd? We'll use TB (45-76) for s**ts and giggles. So we pick 13, 45, 76.
Now if we trade down to say 22 with Min- There is all kinds of different offers we could get. But they are loaded with picks so more likely willing to part with his year's picks as oppose to adding next year's picks. Last year to go from 20-10 for Devin Bush Pitt gave up a 2nd and 3rd. With the Ammo Minny has I think that would/could be a reasonable expectation at 13 as well. Especially for them to replace Diggs. So we'll say we get there 22, 58, 105
22, 31, 58 & 105 shows more depth that trading down from 31 does it not? All that and we get a 5th year option on the player we select at 31. The ones that want to trade down at 31 use the 5th year option as an added bonus for the pick. Why can't we keep that added bonus.
Now the problem with that is, sure you could lose out on even the guys I want by moving down. But if you hit on all 3 of your players(perhaps even just 2 of them) they will be worth more than the difference Jeudy/Ruggs and the WR we choose with one of our 1st 4 picks.
I think your definition of blue chip is not what it really means. Sure, opinions are like, well you know... but look at some consensus things for instance:
The drop off from the top 3 WR's to the next tier seems to be a consensus. The next tier seems to be big with rankings all over the place.
The same can be said at CB. Consensus seems to be that it's Okudah, then Henderson, then a third tier where things are all over the place, includes Fulton.
Here's why I said what I said about having pick 13 changing the "have to trade down" argument:
We now have 2 picks in the first 4 rounds. 1 very high pick and a second 1st rounder. It's no longer a late first and nothing else.
Here's why I said what I said about depth showing more with a pick at 31 than at 13:
The tiers I mentioned above come into play here. At 13 you can have Henderson. Not at 22. You love Fulton, but he and others that are in that conversation are likely there at 31. Add to that, at 31, and 45 you see depth because the gap in players is not that big. The gap from Fulton to say, Ig or Dantzler is not that big. Some people my Fulton as CB3, some have him as CB7. That's to say, the consensus is a cluster of CB's that stretch through that range of late 1st - late 2nd.
I've read that as many as 40 players could be considered 1st round talents. Possibly more. The gap is there though. We could go through the same exercise with WRs, but I think you get the point.
It seems to me that you just do not value the top 3 WRs like the general consensus does. That's the disconnect.
Depth means a lot of good players. Not great. There's a difference. Blue Chip at 22 does not exist. Can you hit on a player that turns out to be a stud? yes. Are they a blue chip prospect? No.