Originally posted by SanDiego49er:
We need the losses for a higher draft pick and I think we will get it. Incidentally I don't think we can do much better than 11th pick overall. It comes down to a bunch of teams who are nearly hopeless. Who have 4 wins. They need to win 2 more times (extremely unlikely). Then it comes down to tiebreakers like strength of schedule, division, conference and so on. Just a basic look I don't think there are a lot of favorable strength of schedule ones for us. Plus those hopeless teams have to win 2. I think mathematically you could be looking at #'s 8, 9, 10, 11 overall pick. But realistically because those teams can't win and are such clunkers you are looking strongly at #11. Assuming we lose out. Which we are real capable of.
We had a 1st place schedule in 2024 so we probably will have the toughest SOS meaning we are the "best of the worst." Also, I doubt any other teams win 2 games from those with 4 wins.
In other words, you are right. Probably can't get better than 11.
Hopefully we don't pull out a win @ AZ. Might move us up 3-4 slots even.