Originally posted by NinerBuff:
Originally posted by LeProfessionnel:
Agree, although I see Beathard as a 4th rounder. Cousins was taken in the 4th at pick #102. Beathard was taken at #104. Sure it was in the third round but it was basically our 4th round pick mixed with a 7th.
Anyway, if we don't land Cousins there's no way we pass on a QB early in the 2018 draft. Beathard probably isn't even going to play this year. Even if he does he'd need time to learn the new offense.
It's either Cousins or an early 2018 QB for me.
I will say that the highlight videos of Darnold, Allen, and Rosen are pretty amazing. A lot can happen in a year, but those guys look great. What I don't want is that we pay for Cousins at top dollar and get a year or two out of him when we could have had a FQB drafted that's 8 years younger and cheaper.
He'll be 29 this year in his third season starting. I think Cousins could play till he's 37-38 years old. He could start declining around 35.
If we get Cousins in 2018 I think we get at least 4 good years out of him. It would probably be a 5 year contract. We'd want to draft another QB early around 2021. Maybe start drafying guys in rounds 2-3 in 2020.
Thing about drafting a guy in 2018, there's a 50/50 chance he'll sink or swim. It's a huge gamble.
Lets say he doesn't do too well his rookie year or we don't play him his rookie year. Then we have to wait till the 2019 season to really see what we have. If he ends up busting then we have to draft another QB and go through that same process. Some teams get stuck in this cycle for years and years. I don't want to be that team.
I feel good about Shanahan finding/developing a QB but it's still a huge gamble no matter who the HC is. Even Walsh missed on QB's. It happens.
Cousins is a known commodity. There's far less risk and we could be in "win now" mode with Cousins. We're talking a possible super bowl in 2019. A QB ftom the 2018 draft could do the same but the odds are far lower.
Edit: If we do draft a QB as of right now I like Rosen.
[ Edited by LeProfessionnel on May 9, 2017 at 4:31 PM ]