Davis Mills has also been benched and Kyle Allen will start vs Dolphins, per @MikeGarafolo pic.twitter.com/9U8UwovCl5
— PFF (@PFF) November 23, 2022
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Jimmy Garoppolo, QB, Los Angeles Rams
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:26 PM
- picklejuice
- Veteran
- Posts: 2,353
jimmy g w/ the texans?
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:27 PM
- random49er
- Veteran
- Posts: 13,843
Originally posted by YACBros85:
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
He has had 1 poor game this season and that was the DEN game. He has had a poor play here and there but other than that he has been solid this season.
I thought the KC game was poor it was mostly good but the bad outweighed the good making it not a good game. Go back and look at that INT from holding the ball not getting it out into the blitz. Also holding the ball, getting strip sacked. Finally, he got safetied from holding the ball in his own endzone which was clownish. The problems as usual stem from not getting it out quick, which I am noticing improvement recently. CMC effect helping as it is drawing the D away, opening up some space out there.
The 1st half vs. SD wasn't good either. Picked it up come the 2nd half.
Wasn't good in the 1st quarter of the ARI game either since we couldn't get the offense moving on two straight drives. Am I doing this right?
A half and a quarter aren't equivalent so statistically speaking, no.
But if we are going to nitpick, we got to do it right.
This is the Jimmy thread. Adding onto a point that he didn't look all that good for a half of football isin't nitpicking. How he looks the 1st half of games is a concern of mines, and with a roster of playmakers like this, has been one for some time. "Nitpicking" is just another one of those words that lead us away from the topic, which as I see it was how he played in past games.
If you are going to do it right then acknowledge how he played the other 3 quarters, as I did w/the 2nd half.
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:28 PM
- Furlow
- Veteran
- Posts: 22,078
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by RiceOwensStokes:
I see this version is extra large.. the NY edition of the form perhaps
NY definitely needs to fill one out lol.
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:29 PM
- krizay
- Veteran
- Posts: 25,224
- NFL Pick 'em
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
I see this version is extra large.. the NY edition of the form perhaps
I don't see any I don't have anything to apologize for because I never said he was a bad QB. I've said he has been playing good along with all of the all pros around him box.
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:29 PM
- English
- Moderator
- Posts: 40,438
- NFL Pick 'em
Originally posted by WhyQBsAreGood:
By the way: When you have to ban someone, all you do is prove you fear what they have to say and can't argue against it. SJWs love bans.
By the way, we don't ban you because we can't argue against what you say. We ban you because we enjoy it.
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:30 PM
- random49er
- Veteran
- Posts: 13,843
Originally posted by picklejuice:
jimmy g w/ the texans?
Davis Mills has also been benched and Kyle Allen will start vs Dolphins, per @MikeGarafolo pic.twitter.com/9U8UwovCl5
— PFF (@PFF) November 23, 2022
People have been saying the Jets but Zach Wilson missed several games his rookie season, and this season as well.
You don't draft a guy #2 overall to give up on him so quickly and pounce on Jimmy G.
Whether he sits or not this year is a different story but Wilson will get another year before a major signing.
A team like the Texans seems alot more realistic.
[ Edited by random49er on Nov 23, 2022 at 2:31 PM ]
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:30 PM
- Young2Owens
- Veteran
- Posts: 4,721
wait so we gotta apologize after 3 good games against bad defenses?
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:32 PM
- YACBros85
- Veteran
- Posts: 9,899
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
He has had 1 poor game this season and that was the DEN game. He has had a poor play here and there but other than that he has been solid this season.
I thought the KC game was poor it was mostly good but the bad outweighed the good making it not a good game. Go back and look at that INT from holding the ball not getting it out into the blitz. Also holding the ball, getting strip sacked. Finally, he got safetied from holding the ball in his own endzone which was clownish. The problems as usual stem from not getting it out quick, which I am noticing improvement recently. CMC effect helping as it is drawing the D away, opening up some space out there.
The 1st half vs. SD wasn't good either. Picked it up come the 2nd half.
Wasn't good in the 1st quarter of the ARI game either since we couldn't get the offense moving on two straight drives. Am I doing this right?
A half and a quarter aren't equivalent so statistically speaking, no.
But if we are going to nitpick, we got to do it right.
This is the Jimmy thread. Adding onto a point that he didn't look all that good for a half of football isin't nitpicking. How he looks the 1st half of games is a concern of mines, and with a roster of playmakers like this, has been one for some time. "Nitpicking" is just another one of those words that lead us away from the topic, which as I see it was how he played in past games.
If you are going to do it right then acknowledge how he played the other 3 quarters, as I did w/the 2nd half.
So it is okay for you to single out one half of football but I am not allowed to single out 2 drives? That just isn't fair.
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:32 PM
- 49erFaithful6
- Veteran
- Posts: 35,856
Originally posted by picklejuice:
jimmy g w/ the texans?
Davis Mills has also been benched and Kyle Allen will start vs Dolphins, per @MikeGarafolo pic.twitter.com/9U8UwovCl5
— PFF (@PFF) November 23, 2022
But he's head and shoulders above the entire field with that neck.. rip Neck God
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:38 PM
- random49er
- Veteran
- Posts: 13,843
Originally posted by Furlow:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by RiceOwensStokes:
I see this version is extra large.. the NY edition of the form perhaps
NY definitely needs to fill one out lol.
Helping you out with a much more feasible form NY would probably have no problems with:
Lol...should alleviate all his concerns with the way answers to the Quiz will be circulating all over the net between now and then.
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:42 PM
- random49er
- Veteran
- Posts: 13,843
Originally posted by YACBros85:
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
Originally posted by random49er:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
He has had 1 poor game this season and that was the DEN game. He has had a poor play here and there but other than that he has been solid this season.
I thought the KC game was poor it was mostly good but the bad outweighed the good making it not a good game. Go back and look at that INT from holding the ball not getting it out into the blitz. Also holding the ball, getting strip sacked. Finally, he got safetied from holding the ball in his own endzone which was clownish. The problems as usual stem from not getting it out quick, which I am noticing improvement recently. CMC effect helping as it is drawing the D away, opening up some space out there.
The 1st half vs. SD wasn't good either. Picked it up come the 2nd half.
Wasn't good in the 1st quarter of the ARI game either since we couldn't get the offense moving on two straight drives. Am I doing this right?
A half and a quarter aren't equivalent so statistically speaking, no.
But if we are going to nitpick, we got to do it right.
This is the Jimmy thread. Adding onto a point that he didn't look all that good for a half of football isin't nitpicking. How he looks the 1st half of games is a concern of mines, and with a roster of playmakers like this, has been one for some time. "Nitpicking" is just another one of those words that lead us away from the topic, which as I see it was how he played in past games.
If you are going to do it right then acknowledge how he played the other 3 quarters, as I did w/the 2nd half.
So it is okay for you to single out one half of football but I am not allowed to single out 2 drives? That just isn't fair.
Put the rest of the game in context. You asked if you're doing it right so I helped you out with where your gaffe was.
And again,....saying a player didn't look very good for an entire 1st half of football isint nitpicking.
If it is then you can throw out all the analytical numbers you bring here to the forum,...because they all attempt to capture in one way or another what I'm saying.
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:44 PM
- RiceOwensStokes
- Veteran
- Posts: 8,945
- NFL Pick 'em
Originally posted by Young2Owens:
wait so we gotta apologize after 3 good games against bad defenses?
Yes?…
a lot of you guys claimed he wasn't worth anything and used losing football organizations that didn't want to trade for him to justify your claims.
[ Edited by RiceOwensStokes on Nov 23, 2022 at 2:44 PM ]
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:44 PM
- random49er
- Veteran
- Posts: 13,843
Originally posted by NukeEnglandPutin:
How pathetic do you have to be to "enjoy" banning someone from an internet forum? I'll bet you think moderating a 49ers message board is an actual career. Talk about impotent.
This guy can't be serious, can he?
Jimmy played the best game since his NO game some time ago. Why is Ribs/TreyDey not happy?
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:44 PM
- NYniner85
- Veteran
- Posts: 111,120
Originally posted by Furlow:
NY definitely needs to fill one out lol.
Oh piss off. I've said Jimmy plays well when he actually plays well. I don't have to defend him no matter what, like some of ya'll.
Nov 23, 2022 at 2:45 PM
- 5_Golden_Rings
- Veteran
- Posts: 13,053
Originally posted by Furlow:
Originally posted by 5_Golden_Rings:
Originally posted by Furlow:
Originally posted by 5_Golden_Rings:
Originally posted by Furlow:
Originally posted by 5_Golden_Rings:
Originally posted by ritz126:
Originally posted by GoreGoreGore:
Passer rating has always been stupid. Every player always laughed about it. QBR is not perfect but it's a better metric. I'll trust the players and coaches when it comes to this.
which is more accurate
Daniel Jones is a top 10 QB or Daniel Jones is the 19th ranked QB
Derek Carr is a top 10 QB or the 16th ranked QB
Jacoby Brisset is a top 10 QB or the 18th ranked QB
Marcus Mariotta is a 11th ranked QB (LOL) or 17th?
Also the idea that Trever Lawrence andy dalton Goff and the other QBs above are ranked above Jimmy and even Cousins (who imo hasn't played amazingly but definitely well) is laughable it throws out the stat completely
they really need to rework that formula
Just need to wait for more data points.
No.
Yes. That's how this works. The main difference between passer rating and QBR—other than the fact that the former gives credit and blame to the QB that should go to the WRs—is that you can play a bad game and still have a high passer rating. For example, in the 2011-2012 NFCCG, Alex Smith had a 97.6 passer rating. And we were 1-13 on third down, and Alex was 9-23 for 84 yards on all but three passes. Passer rating is too limited to tell the truth about the quarterback.
More data points for a bad formula isn't going to help. You act like there aren't a s**t ton of examples of QB's with high QBR's who played terrible.
Have you heard the mathematical expression "returning to the mean?" Well sometimes you have statistical anomalies. Sometimes you have several in a row. But with enough time, the truth is revealed.
In any event, if we had a competition over who can find more bad games with high ratings, I'd win with passer rating over you with QBR.
No you wouldn't. Otherwise there wouldn't be so many more outliers with QBR than QB rating. That's not just this season, every season that QBR has been around it's like that. You just favor QB's who can run, as does ESPN because they're cool highlights, and fantasy football players because it racks up points. QBR is a reflection of the new generation of fan that cares about highlights and fantasy points.
Yes, I would.
1.) There aren't more outliers with QBR than QB rating. The top ten list is almost identical. More interestingly, if you take the top thirty* Total QBR and passer rating and see how the top scores and bottom scores correlate, they're almost exactly correlated (QBR is already normalized, so you have to normalize passer rating). So you must mean something else by "outlier" than a numerical outlier, because the two have identical correlation with one another when each rating is listed in numerical order.
If you mean players being more than a standard deviation above the mean, passer rating has six values that are more than a standard deviation above the mean, while Total QBR has only four values more than a standard deviation above the mean. As far as more than a standard deviation below the mean, passer rating has four below the mean, while Total QBR also has four more than one standard deviation below the mean. This indicates that passer rating inflates the difference between the good and not good more than Total QBR does (on this limited sample size), and that passer rating actually has more outliers.
*30 because I have 30 slots on my Excel sheet with the relevant formulas and don't feel like adding two or more rows.
If instead you just mean mediocre QBs at the top that you don't feel belong there, and good QBs near the bottom that you feel should be higher, well first of all, your OPINION on them is hardly gospel. And second, you'd obviously not be considering the fact that several young QBs took big steps this year—which is AS IS EXPECTED at some point in the careers of highly drafted QBs (such as Tua and Hurts). As for Geno Smith, his passer rating is hardly higher than last year, but his QBR is a lot higher. And absolutely no one disputes that he's having a career year. Which means QBR tells Geno Smith's story more accurately than passer rating. As for Derek Carr, he's been mediocre to slightly above average for several years. Guess what his 59.1 QBR is? Mediocre to slightly above average. Him being 10th in QBR doesn't mean he's the 10th best QB. It means some good QBs have had a couple of games where they struggled uncharacteristically, and as a result, the whole of all QB performance outside the very top performers has taken a hit.
Meanwhile, you have the likes of Andy Dalton as the 9th best QB based on passer rating, and as for QBR, the only strange one is Brissett (Cooper Rush went 4-1 in his starts. He "just won," and he "just won" for the same reason Jimmy "just wins." Rush had four games where he was managing the game and making the necessary plays, and one singular horrible game where he threw 3 interceptions, and for that one game, his four decent games are erased in passer rating.
Of the top 10 guys in QBR, only two of them have a passer rating ranking that is different by 5 or more rankings. Of the top 10 guys in passer rating, FOUR guys have a passer rating more than 5 rankings different than their QBR ranking. If one of these ratings systems has more outliers, it's passer rating. At least for the top ranked guys.
As for the bottom 10 guys, QBR has 3 guys with the worst QBR who rank more than 5 spots differently in passer rating. Passer rating also has only 3 guys with rankings in QBR more than 5 spots different.
.
.
And lastly, with respect to Jimmy, his QBR on the season is presently 50.4. That's very slightly above average for the year. He's played in 9 games. He's played one absolutely horrid game, two other bad games (Atlanta and Kansas City—they were bad games, sorry fan bois), three pretty good games (Seattle, Panthers, Rams and Chargers), two excellent games (Rams and Cardinals). On balance, the Falcons and Chiefs games cancel out two of the "pretty good" games, and the Broncos game was so bad it cancels out one excellent game as well as another pretty good game. That leaves you with a little better than "pretty good" for the year. So his QBR for the year is maybe 5 points lower than it should be. And that factor is easily accounted for by remembering how many huge plays the weapons he has makes, which as a whole is simply superior to everyone else in terms of action after the ball is in their hands.
His passer rating is high because passer rating is not capable of understanding how truly horrible his Broncos game was, and it's that game right there that is the albatross keeping his QBR barely at average (and rightfully so). However, with more games, the weight of that Broncos game will diminish, and a more accurate representation of what Jimmy has done this year will be represented.