Will the 2020 NFL season be canceled due to COVID19?

Originally posted by captveg:
Some teams may just end up playing less games. There was a 9 game season once, you know. Not the end of the world.

All teams would have to play the same number of games, including all divisional games. Otherwise, the playoff selection would be skewed.

Strange, isn't it , how things are going well (covid-wise) and then BOOM! Things just turn to schidt. An article from the Atlantic, by a professor from UNC had her article summarized and reprinted in "Docwire". If any of you are like me, and not able to understand how there is a covid burst...that then gets bettter and then BANG! It's back again....well, here is a summary of an overlooked reason for covid spikes.

We have been forward tracing but the Japanese have been back tracing, ie, looking at a spike and trying to find out where it CAME from. Spikes come from SUPERSPREADERS, and when in a setting like the 3 Cs, you get your spike.

Crowded, Closed in (indoors), and Close contact are the 3 Cs but add the Superspreader and you get your spike. They reference one case, Case 31, where ONE woman in So, Korea infected 5000 others...all by herself...at church. So there is one place for spikes and the others are gyms, indoor dining, choirs, closed sports stadiums( NBA, MLB , and NFL), altho full outdoor stadiums( Levi) would make the list also, if filled to capacity..and last but not least...Bars.

Data Is that superspreaders make up <19 % of patients with covid, but many peg that number at closer to 5%.. Whatever, if one is at one of the 3 Cs, and a superspreader is also, then that is where the spikes comes from.

For us fans, that means that we could attend what i had posted before, roughly 18% of Levi's capacity with 6' spacing and masks (also mass testing of temperatures of attendees Prior to entry), which is easily done today. Seating would have to be every other row, (50% less) and every 3rd seat (/2/3 of that 50% is 32% ) thus leaving 18% seats for fans to attend according to specks above. 18% of 70,000 = approx 12,000 fans. With masks still a risk but with open air, relatively safe if you keep your distancing at 6'.

There is no way as long as covid is amongst us that we can do better than that, other than vaccine, when available. Meantime, it is worth it for all of us keeping in mind the 3 Cs (for personal safety) Crowds, Closed in (indoors), and Closeness (packed together). If a superspreader is at any of those places, odds are you get it. And for "the love of Mike" wear your damn mask.

Think about 45 (or 53) players x 32 teams, and you are looking at over 1600 guys. All any one of them has to do is be at a gym, church, indoor restaurant, Bar, sports stadium (covered) and have one superspreader there, to suddenly cause a new SPIKE. Then we get 14 guys on the Miami Marlins, 23 guys on Notre Dame football team, and now Titans with 16 players/coaches who get it all at once one day.

But now we have an explanation as to how. 3 Cs + Superspreader. Finally an explanation as to how could so many people on the same team...and out of the blue...come down with covid.

Under circumstances like this, and using this as a model, it is easy to understand how many of us wondered how we could ever make it thru a season. And just like Vikes/Titans game, you start putting a number of games like that together, and pretty soon...a season makes no sense. So basically all 1600 players and all 450 coaches have to be perfect in avoiding the 3 Cs. The superspreader doesn't know he/she has it nor the propensity to hyper-infect so many people. Yet THAT is how SPIKES occur....if this theory is correct. For the first time since March, i finally understand how this is the way spikes occur. It gives one cause to reflect on the season still in front of us.

All data above courtesy of Atlantic magazine, from article by Assoc Prof Tucdecki (Sp??), summarized and reprinted on "Docwire" website.

Originally posted by tjd808185:

The season is fine. There's going to be delays, infections, and maybe some cancellations. They knew that going in.

Exactly... to think people/teams weren't going to get infected is just ignorance.

Originally posted by dj43:

Originally posted by captveg:
Some teams may just end up playing less games. There was a 9 game season once, you know. Not the end of the world.

All teams would have to play the same number of games, including all divisional games. Otherwise, the playoff selection would be skewed.

Certainly not ideal, but in the worst case scenario, let say a team had to cancel multiple games due to covid, I think rather than cancel the whole season, or the rest of the league waits for weeks for this team to finish all 16 games, I think the league will decide that some teams just play less games, and the playoff will be determined by the wining %, (for tie breakers, divisional winning %, and conference winning %) to determine which team make it to the playoff.

12-game season eliminating the AFC-NFC games.
Start the season on time.
Several bye weeks for every team.
With more bye weeks we´d have more room to play postponed games.

Was that too hard to do?

Originally posted by Monsterniner:

12-game season eliminating the AFC-NFC games.
Start the season on time.
Several bye weeks for every team.
With more bye weeks we´d have more room to play postponed games.

Was that too hard to do?

Yes. Less games less ads means less money for the tv gods, more refunds they want from the nfl, less money in owners pockets. No deal.

Originally posted by JoseCortez:
Yes. Less games less ads means less money for the tv gods, more refunds they want from the nfl, less money in owners pockets. No deal.

So........we want to play 16 games and at the end the season will be cancelled because there will be no room to play the postponed games because Goodell and the owners acted like if the pandemic would be over in september.

That´s not a smart idea.

There's a good chance it will get cancelled. And not so much because of the virus itself but because of the reaction of people as a whole to every reported case.

Originally posted by NickMullensBDN:

Originally posted by illinois9er:

Originally posted by Rathof44:

Originally posted by boast:

yeah a couple more of these postponements and this season is done.

Gonna suck if we lost Bosa in a canceled season.

The other POV is that that's a season to lose him because there's no SB champion

This. If we have to lose Bosa might as well happen when the season doesn't even complete.

Guess my point was would rather have a healthy Bosa and no 2020 season at all, versus having a canceled season and a Bosa returning from ACL.

Saints player just tested positive

Just shut it down already. It is inevitable.

time for some doubleheaders

Originally posted by dj43:

Originally posted by captveg:

Some teams may just end up playing less games. There was a 9 game season once, you know. Not the end of the world.

All teams would have to play the same number of games, including all divisional games. Otherwise, the playoff selection would be skewed.

Exactly. Missed games will get made up