Originally posted by adrianlesnar:
Too early to close the book, but he does look the most bust-worthy of the big 5
What's interesting is both Shanny's Niners and Saleh's Jets have put themselves in somewhat unenviable positions. Not the exact same situation and we believe/hope that given time and better players around him that Lance will pan out.
But both teams took big swings on
potential busts at QB. And I get that every player practically is a potential bust the higher he's drafted.
But Wilson, not one year as a starter, but one year of really attention getting put yourself in first round of the NFL draft conversation as a starter. It's still all in all a relatively small sample size versus some of the other quarterbacks. Even a guy like Kellen Mond from Texas A&M who has great talent and had a lot of experience and seemed to get progressively better, there's more to properly evaluate and project. Now Mond may always be a backup in the league. Don't know.
Wilson had one actual stellar year in college. He did it at a very respectable program in BYU but he also did it against a second tier or whatever slate of teams for the most part. Some teams not even probably second tier.
Lance, well the risk there is obvious. Literally one year as a starter at a FCS power but FCS school and essentially an entire year off after that one year of starting.
Again, hopefully it works out for us. Just as a person to another, hope it works out for Wilson too. But I am not surprised that up to this point he hasn't matched the hype. Teams continue to take big swings at QB's with one year of starting experience or one year of NFL level production and a lot of times it comes back to bite them.
I guess New England did that too. But they took a lower ceiling QB who played in the top program in the country right now and sat/learned behind other NFL starting QB's. Neither Jalen Hurts or Tua look like Hall of Fame players or even Pro Bowl players but they are at least starting in the NFL right now. Trey has had some of that to a lesser degree.
Wilson, comes out of nowhere to explode on to the draft radar and struggles. Not a tremendous surprise.