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Mac Jones-QB-Jaguars

Originally posted by Rathof44:
Originally posted by 5_Golden_Rings:
Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by rathman4481:
I've been a huge Mac homer but I just don't see it at #3.

But there is no reason at all for the 49ers to have a smokescreen unless they feel the Jets are up to something.

You know how I feel about him and I'm really trying to wrap my head around the idea of given up 3 1sts and a 3rd...but I just can't justify it.

I thought Kyle would be smart enough to see through the fluff stats, all the RPOs/bubble screens, all the wide open WRs and easy reads all the max protections etc etc...

I thought he would finally get how important top end talent is after getting smoked by Allen, losing to Mahomes in the SB, getting beat by Murray and Wilson. I figured after that comment in the Bills games he finally got it...he could take an elite talent and destroy the league.

I was so stoked on Friday lol, literally something I've been wanting to happen as a SF fan for over 30 yrs....now it might turn into my nightmare scenario ha f**k me

Hang in there bud. There's always the other side of this as well. Biderman brought up the idea every connected media outlet might by noting Mac Jones because it's so believable to Kyle's M.O. to this point, it's calculated in hope that Saleh and Mike LaFleur take him instead. And even if it doesn't work, it might be a sign they still are targeting a more athletic mobile QB in Fields or Lance.

True.

And also all of you need to chill. Even if it's Jones, HE IS GOOD. They are ALL good. Just because a guy can't scramble doesn't mean he can't win. People are losing their s**t because they want a TYPE.

I 100% guarantee you on THIS team, all three are going to be thriving by year two or three.

I mean JEEEEZUS, I'm still smiling ear to ear because I KNOW that no matter who we pick, and this team is going to be better. How in the world some of you only see that if an elite scrambler is drafted amazes me. ALL THREE — on THIS team, with THIS staff and THIS culture — are going to be difference makers.

Agree. I think people are losing their s**t because of what they gave up to move to #3 if they select Jones. When it was entirely possible...maybe not probable... he would be there at #12. My issue is that. I would rather have kept the 2022 and 2023 picks and rolled the dice that Jones is there at 12, than lose those picks to reach for him #3. Worse case scenario, you roll with Jimmy and add Pitts or even Slater at 12.

I find it extremely unlikely he gets passed Carolina. And Pitts isn't falling to 12 either.
Originally posted by Rathof44:
Fun facts:
-Of Jones' 424 attempts this season, 145 of them were thrown to pass-catchers at or behind the line of scrimmage, good for a rate of 34.1%. That's high. Really high. Joe Burrow, who he is incorrectly compared to, was 16.6%

-Of Jones' 4,500 passing yards, more than half (53.5%) was via yards after the catch. And absolutely, YAC can sometimes be aided by a super-accurate pass or a quarterback throwing to the right receiver in rhythm. Jones did those things in 2020 for the Crimson Tide. But check how his YAC percentage of 53.5 compares to those same group of recent Round 1 passers: Highest in the last 3 years of any Qb drafted in R1 except Tua........hmm.

-In 2020, only 11.3% of Jones pass attempts were made out of the pocket -- again, scheme -- but that low figure does hint at his lack of playmaking ability, a skill becoming increasingly important to the modern-day quarterback. For comparison, Justin Fields, who many rightfully criticize for some awkward improvisations, threw 21.5% of his passes outside of the friendly confines of the pocket this season.

So he likes to throw it short and relies on rac. Looks at Jimmy's stats. Dang it we're f'd.
  • Giedi
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 33,368
Originally posted by NCommand:
That's how I view it too. I'm not locked in to one type or one QB. You just need to keep an open mind and let Kyle go get his guy. You know Kyle is going to develop him the best he can and get the most out of him. It won't be a BeatHard-type of pick. It's first round traits he'll be working with.

I'm fine if he drafts Steve young 2.0 or the dude married to a super model 2.0, as long as I get my 6th, 7th, and 8th Lombardis, I'll be happy.🤓🥸🥳😁
Originally posted by NCommand:
I don't get the ceiling and floor talk, personally. If you have the traits to work from within an NFL pocket, those skills, like golfing, never stop developing. Ever. Tom Brady and Joe Montana never stopped working on those skills or the mental processing to advance them. There is no ceiling for that.

You keep saying it's the foundation of the offense while ignoring what I just posted again. LOL

Working with in the pocket is a learned trait, you're not born with that. Like you said that never stops. ALL of these prospects can get better there. Watson got better, Wilson got better, Rogers got better, Allen got better, Mahomes got better etc.

Having the god given ability to throw a football better than most people or having the athletic ability that some of these guys has is NOT something you can learn to do. THAT is what separates players and creates ceilings and floors at the QB position.

What you're talking about is the same reason Tua got taken over Herbert or why Watson/Mahomes dropped. It's a reason why Baker/Darnold went over Allen. People by passed elite traits. IF you have good coaching staff and roster you should go for the elite traits.
Originally posted by Giedi:
Originally posted by NCommand:
That's how I view it too. I'm not locked in to one type or one QB. You just need to keep an open mind and let Kyle go get his guy. You know Kyle is going to develop him the best he can and get the most out of him. It won't be a BeatHard-type of pick. It's first round traits he'll be working with.

I'm fine if he drafts Steve young 2.0 or the dude married to a super model 2.0, as long as I get my 6th, 7th, and 8th Lombardis, I'll be happy.🤓🥸🥳😁

Exactly!
Originally posted by tjd808185:
Originally posted by Rathof44:
Fun facts:
-Of Jones' 424 attempts this season, 145 of them were thrown to pass-catchers at or behind the line of scrimmage, good for a rate of 34.1%. That's high. Really high. Joe Burrow, who he is incorrectly compared to, was 16.6%

-Of Jones' 4,500 passing yards, more than half (53.5%) was via yards after the catch. And absolutely, YAC can sometimes be aided by a super-accurate pass or a quarterback throwing to the right receiver in rhythm. Jones did those things in 2020 for the Crimson Tide. But check how his YAC percentage of 53.5 compares to those same group of recent Round 1 passers: Highest in the last 3 years of any Qb drafted in R1 except Tua........hmm.

-In 2020, only 11.3% of Jones pass attempts were made out of the pocket -- again, scheme -- but that low figure does hint at his lack of playmaking ability, a skill becoming increasingly important to the modern-day quarterback. For comparison, Justin Fields, who many rightfully criticize for some awkward improvisations, threw 21.5% of his passes outside of the friendly confines of the pocket this season.

So he likes to throw it short and relies on rac. Looks at Jimmy's stats. Dang it we're f'd.

Right, replacing Jimmy with a younger, healthier (hopefully) version of Jimmy. Just strange to me in a division where you watch Murray and Wilson evade rush pressure and create or run for 15yds, that this is the answer. But hey what do I know?
How's his playaction
Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by Rathof44:
Originally posted by 5_Golden_Rings:
Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by rathman4481:
I've been a huge Mac homer but I just don't see it at #3.

But there is no reason at all for the 49ers to have a smokescreen unless they feel the Jets are up to something.

You know how I feel about him and I'm really trying to wrap my head around the idea of given up 3 1sts and a 3rd...but I just can't justify it.

I thought Kyle would be smart enough to see through the fluff stats, all the RPOs/bubble screens, all the wide open WRs and easy reads all the max protections etc etc...

I thought he would finally get how important top end talent is after getting smoked by Allen, losing to Mahomes in the SB, getting beat by Murray and Wilson. I figured after that comment in the Bills games he finally got it...he could take an elite talent and destroy the league.

I was so stoked on Friday lol, literally something I've been wanting to happen as a SF fan for over 30 yrs....now it might turn into my nightmare scenario ha f**k me

Hang in there bud. There's always the other side of this as well. Biderman brought up the idea every connected media outlet might by noting Mac Jones because it's so believable to Kyle's M.O. to this point, it's calculated in hope that Saleh and Mike LaFleur take him instead. And even if it doesn't work, it might be a sign they still are targeting a more athletic mobile QB in Fields or Lance.

True.

And also all of you need to chill. Even if it's Jones, HE IS GOOD. They are ALL good. Just because a guy can't scramble doesn't mean he can't win. People are losing their s**t because they want a TYPE.

I 100% guarantee you on THIS team, all three are going to be thriving by year two or three.

I mean JEEEEZUS, I'm still smiling ear to ear because I KNOW that no matter who we pick, and this team is going to be better. How in the world some of you only see that if an elite scrambler is drafted amazes me. ALL THREE — on THIS team, with THIS staff and THIS culture — are going to be difference makers.

Agree. I think people are losing their s**t because of what they gave up to move to #3 if they select Jones. When it was entirely possible...maybe not probable... he would be there at #12. My issue is that. I would rather have kept the 2022 and 2023 picks and rolled the dice that Jones is there at 12, than lose those picks to reach for him #3. Worse case scenario, you roll with Jimmy and add Pitts or even Slater at 12.

But then you lose out on your FQB. Then what? Atlanta and Detroit are 2 teams that have run offenses with classic drop back QB's since the dawn of time. Carolina wouldn't surprise me either. That means the one classic QB of the 5 is gone before 12. Now what? You think we'll be in that position again with this strong of a QB class?

All it takes is one team taking your guy and it's over.

And, in addition, next year's draft is reportedly weak in quarterbacks. So the webzone were already moaning about the FO not having the balls to go get a top qb. So, if they had waited, there are enough qb-hungry teams in front of us and just behind us, to gut the draft of quality players. People can't have it both ways. They showed guts to trade up, now they get to take their choice of qb. a day if that is Jones, so be it. I think the top 5 would all be long gone by our #12.

And if Garoppolo goes down early in the season? Rosen walks on the field and the webzone melts down. For the sake of two future 1st rounders, they have taken control of their destiny whilst the team is ready to take advantage of it.

Respect.
Originally posted by Rathof44:
Fun facts:
-Of Jones' 424 attempts this season, 145 of them were thrown to pass-catchers at or behind the line of scrimmage, good for a rate of 34.1%. That's high. Really high. Joe Burrow, who he is incorrectly compared to, was 16.6%

-Of Jones' 4,500 passing yards, more than half (53.5%) was via yards after the catch. And absolutely, YAC can sometimes be aided by a super-accurate pass or a quarterback throwing to the right receiver in rhythm. Jones did those things in 2020 for the Crimson Tide. But check how his YAC percentage of 53.5 compares to those same group of recent Round 1 passers: Highest in the last 3 years of any Qb drafted in R1 except Tua........hmm.

-In 2020, only 11.3% of Jones pass attempts were made out of the pocket -- again, scheme -- but that low figure does hint at his lack of playmaking ability, a skill becoming increasingly important to the modern-day quarterback. For comparison, Justin Fields, who many rightfully criticize for some awkward improvisations, threw 21.5% of his passes outside of the friendly confines of the pocket this season.

Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by 5_Golden_Rings:
Because they — and no one else in this draft most likely — will be as good between the ears as Jones.

But again, you may be losing your mind too early here. Given the capital they traded, even if they have a good idea who they want, they'll do the due diligence on the others. And in fact that may be a sign they are leaning to Lance, since they're doing their last minute homework on Jones.

Nevertheless, in the interest of your mental health, you might want to watch more Jones so you can see that he has the best ball placement of everyone in the draft too. Otherwise you're going to be in a mental rut for a couple of years if we pick Jones (until he proves your fears are overblown).

I'm sorry why can't they be better between the ears? Why can't any of these super young kids be better than him? That's a learned trait.

Dude I've watched Jones plenty...it was wide open throw after wide open throw. Tons of RPOs and bubble screens. Yes he had some great throws, but so does everyone.

I watched Jones' and Lance's pro day back to back yesterday and it was so painfully obvious how much better of a thrower Lance was. His arm talent is worlds better. The ball spins of his hands so much better. You can find "ball placement" and heady QB play every single yr in the draft. A lot of those guys aren't lucky enough to play for Bama and get recognized like he did though.

Only way he proves me wrong is if he turns into a manning type prospect and I'll go ahead and say that's more than likely not happening.
If it's a learned trait, why do few get better? None of these other guys were teaching the offense to new coaches.

Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by NCommand:
I brought up the PP for you as a lean towards your want...it's less of an issue with the mobile QB's you want. Clearly more of an issue if he goes with Mac Jones. Right?

I don't know if Kyle values what you value in a QB as a primary driver. Like Hero said, if you simply watch the tape in isolation you see all of Kyle's traits...lightning quick delivery, progression reading, touch on short and deep balls that allow for optimal YAC, lightening decision making (including to run), watch his footwork and mechanics, how he moves IN the pocket and feels the pressure before it gets there as he slides into lanes keeping his eyes downfield, etc. You see all of Kyle's offense in that one video I reviewed too.

Also, you don't need to run a 4.3 to run a bootleg in Kyle's offense esp. in shot gun. It helps to have lateral speed and quickness in case McGlinchey and/or Kittle instantly blow their pass protection but it's certainly not a must. If you can slide fast enough into pocket lanes, you can run a bootleg.

I confirmed with Niners816 that of the 570 passing attempts, 142 were PA. He runs those just fine. So how many of the 142 do you think were bootlegs?

He thinks, at most 35 times A YEAR.

Lighten quick delivery? disagree there....Lance and wilson have a quicker release then Jones. Go watch his pro day.

Again, everyone tells me Kyle schemes guys open, so where's all the "progression reads"? over 60% of NFL completions are on the 1st read. The whole progression thing is so dramatized in here. This isn't the 90s where a QB sits back goes through all his reads every down. League is different now. Hence why there hasn't been a successful QB with his attributes drafted in the past 5 yrs.

His footwork in structure and on drop backs is nice...once things get muddy and he has to move, he's no better than any of the top 4 QBs.

Kyle runs boots from under center more than shotgun overall. Jones lateral quickness based off his pro day numbers are down right horrible. He will get crushed in the NFL when he realizes his first read isn't wide open and he actually has to make a play out of structure. Windows are tighter, guys are faster, and you MOST certainly don't have the best team top to bottom every week you step onto the field.

It's the same s**t that we saw with Tua, there isn't a think Jones does better than him and Tua struggled.

Like I said you're romanticizing Jones to the level of a HOF caliber QB like Brady/Ryan etc. If Jones played on Iowa state his draft profile would say....has a chance to start or at the very least be a long term backup in the league for the next 10 yrs.

Absolutely the most compact quick delivery. And it's effortless.

60%. Great, then Kyle is doing his job and making life easier on him. But that 40% when he's not schemed open, his mental processing and quick decision making and delivery will be maximized esp. in the RZ and on 3rd downs.

So Kyle runs 15 bootlegs a year instead of 35. LOL. He increases PA or his strengths more. Non issue from a play calling standpoint. If he had Fields, Kyle would run 50 bootlegs instead. Just style. He's coming to a stacked team and knows how to use his weapons. That translates well, right?

Tua has nothing to do with Kyle and his offense here.

The only one romanticizing is you with an athletic mobile QB. I'm just connecting the obvious dots and watching the smoke to see if there is, in fact a fire. And I won't freak out if there is.

Yeah me neither. Kyle likes what he likes. It's entirely possible he does something he hasn't done before. It's also entirely possible he likes ALL THREE of these guys, and why wouldn't he? This is one of the best QB classes in years.

But if he likes Jones, consider the positives instead of the negatives:

*no more constant cover 1 because Jones has an accurate deep ball when pads come on

*no more having the QB stare at Kittle on 3rd down in the red zone while he's wide open and then throwing the ball to the covered rb underneath

*no more watching WRs damn near break their back catching a pass thrown behind them

*no more ambulance passes

Lots to like even if it's the plane jane QB.

In fact all three have me lactating here.
Originally posted by Rathof44:
Right, replacing Jimmy with a younger, healthier (hopefully) version of Jimmy. Just strange to me in a division where you watch Murray and Wilson evade rush pressure and create or run for 15yds, that this is the answer. But hey what do I know?

It was a joke. I highly doubt we'd trade away 2 1sts just to draft someone who may be a system QB. If we wanted Mac you wait until draft day and trade up to 9. Worse case scenario you still got Jimmy.
Originally posted by RonMexico:
How's his playaction

He doesn't run much play-action from under center, like Kyle loves. It's more RPOs our of shot-gun.

Wilson/Lance/Fields ran PA under center WAY more than he did. Bama had a lot of spread offense plays and got their play makers in space. Just out talented everyone basically.

Gonna be a f**k ton harder to do that in the NFL.
Originally posted by tjd808185:
Originally posted by Rathof44:
Fun facts:
-Of Jones' 424 attempts this season, 145 of them were thrown to pass-catchers at or behind the line of scrimmage, good for a rate of 34.1%. That's high. Really high. Joe Burrow, who he is incorrectly compared to, was 16.6%

-Of Jones' 4,500 passing yards, more than half (53.5%) was via yards after the catch. And absolutely, YAC can sometimes be aided by a super-accurate pass or a quarterback throwing to the right receiver in rhythm. Jones did those things in 2020 for the Crimson Tide. But check how his YAC percentage of 53.5 compares to those same group of recent Round 1 passers: Highest in the last 3 years of any Qb drafted in R1 except Tua........hmm.

-In 2020, only 11.3% of Jones pass attempts were made out of the pocket -- again, scheme -- but that low figure does hint at his lack of playmaking ability, a skill becoming increasingly important to the modern-day quarterback. For comparison, Justin Fields, who many rightfully criticize for some awkward improvisations, threw 21.5% of his passes outside of the friendly confines of the pocket this season.

So he likes to throw it short and relies on rac. Looks at Jimmy's stats. Dang it we're f'd.

Don't look at stats alone. Stats don't show you pocket movement, they don't show you ball placement, and they don't show you the play. Among other things.
Originally posted by 5_Golden_Rings:
If it's a learned trait, why do few get better? None of these other guys were teaching the offense to new coaches.

Who gives a s**t if he was "teaching" a guy a scheme he's been sitting and learning for 3 yrs. big deal. I would expect every single QB that's been in a scheme that long to be able to do that.

Go read post#4284 he wasn't running some ridiculous pro-style offense overall. It was basically a spread offense that got their play makers in space and let them out talent everyone. Same s**t with Tua.
Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by NCommand:
I don't get the ceiling and floor talk, personally. If you have the traits to work from within an NFL pocket, those skills, like golfing, never stop developing. Ever. Tom Brady and Joe Montana never stopped working on those skills or the mental processing to advance them. There is no ceiling for that.

You keep saying it's the foundation of the offense while ignoring what I just posted again. LOL

Working with in the pocket is a learned trait, you're not born with that. Like you said that never stops. ALL of these prospects can get better there. Watson got better, Wilson got better, Rogers got better, Allen got better, Mahomes got better etc.

Having the god given ability to throw a football better than most people or having the athletic ability that some of these guys has is NOT something you can learn to do. THAT is what separates players and creates ceilings and floors at the QB position.

What you're talking about is the same reason Tua got taken over Herbert or why Watson/Mahomes dropped. It's a reason why Baker/Darnold went over Allen. People by passed elite traits. IF you have good coaching staff and roster you should go for the elite traits.

I fully get that.

At the NFL level, I have yet to see the physical traits separate a QB. It's the mental game that separates you and that too, is a God-given ability and intrinsic trait. Even pocket feel seems to have some innate characteristics. Some QB's just have that "feel" before it happens and always know where to slide or escape and we've seen that with the most unathletic QB's in history with Montana and Brady and athletic guys like Russell Wilson ---- they all seem to have eyes in the back of their heads and their athletic gifts are not front and center as they are already moving to the right spot before the pressure builds.

We can throw a grocery long list of one-hit wonder athletic QB's who never progress because of the lack of pocket feel and mental processing as well as classic pocket QB's failing for the same reason.

It's style. Does Kyle see a QB with both?

Like Cossell said, it just comes down to philosophy.
[ Edited by NCommand on Mar 29, 2021 at 8:33 AM ]
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