Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by 5_Golden_Rings:
I'm saying there is no objective answer — at least not now.
As for me, I'd give those many picks to get to 3 and have the chance to pick one of these three. Then I'd spend a month vigorously studying them to determine which is overall the best for my team and system, and then whichever I took I'd deem worth it.
But I am saying NO to the notion that Jones can't be worth it just because he doesn't have elite athleticism or an absolute rocket arm. As I've said to you numerous times, those are not the only traits that rarely improve. A QB wins FANS with his athleticism. He wins GAMES with his brain.
What do you mean there's no objective answer? It's not some deep thought out question.. would you give up 3 1sts rd picks and a 3rd rd pick for Jones? I mean that's damn near what we were talking about giving up for Watson earlier.
So no you wouldn't? is that what you're saying? I don't care about winning with your brain or whatever. It's a simple yes I think he's the next Peyton Manning or some s**t...or it's no, I don't think he is (because that's what he has to be to justify it).
it's fine to say you like him. Do you like him enough to give up all that? That's all I'm asking.
And I'm saying I'm not sure yet. In THIS draft under these circumstances, I would give up 3 picks to have the chance to pick one of the three, because each is good enough upon my current investigation to be our QB for ten years. But there are THREE of them, and I can only pick one.
I need to look at them more. I need to find out a good estimation for the bust chance of each of them. So far, in most likely to bust to least likely, it's Lance, Fields, Jones. But that is not NEARLY good enough. Lance's bust odds might be the highest, but it still might be low enough that his other factors make him worth it.
And regarding Jones, what he is great at, you've argued the other guys could conceivably improve their field vision and processing.
But so could Jones, and if Jones gets significantly better at those things, he'll be approaching Tom Brady and Peyton Manning territory.
That is yet one more reason why I would need to put in more study.
So, if you want a simple answer: I'd trade those picks for ONE of them, but because there is three I need to gain more information.
Side note: If Lance and Fields aren't there I think the trade up might have cost
less, paradoxically, precisely because so many people put so much value into physical ability. But it's nonsensical to consider a situation where only one of them are there, because that is not our situation.