Originally posted by NYniner85:
Originally posted by Giedi:
One reason Kyle drafted QBs the way he did in 2021 is he looks at the class. On 2021, he's been looking at that particular class for years and knew it was a particularly strong QB class.
This 2021 QB class was particularly talented. A lot of variables go into the making of a franchise QB. When Joe lost Fred, and had Jeff Moore as his RB, he went 3-6. When he got back Fred and got Wendell Tyler, Joe went 15-1. it will most likely be similar with Trey (I'm not predicting he's the next gold jacked wearer for the 49ers) but if you build a good team around Trey, surround him with the best players, you will have a good QB.
Kyle chose Trey based on his experiences with QBs. When no one was looking at Jimmy, he already wanted Jimmy. ShanaLynch even tried to trade for him but was rejected before Belicheck basically gave him to the 49ers. So i have confidence that Trey is a franchise QB, simply because Kyle is also that confident - that Trey is one. He can also be *wrong* - but only time will tell at this point.
If Trey would have stayed in college, unless there was some massive regression or injury....he would have been the #1QB in this upcoming draft, possibly the #1 pick and a Detroit Lion
The foundation for Lance is elite. His skill set is what you want in todays NFL QB...but the intangibles are also sky high. He's smart as f**k, a film junkie, and straight up loves playing QB. He's not some self-absorbed cocky kid. His humble and a leader. He WANTS to get better. Everything I've read about the kid backs up all that. He's come from a good home and has a chip on his shoulder. He wasn't given anything. I'll bet on all that.
The only thing he's missing is reps....there will be a maturation process because of that. It's literally the same thing as Josh Allen. I'm not saying he will be him, but their paths from HS to the NFL are very similar. Their skill sets are similar. What they both needed to improve upon is very similar. I actually think Lance has a better base of what to work off of, then Josh coming into the league.... BUT Josh needed REPS.
As long as we have a good team and coaching around Lance, those "bad" reps will only help him improve. The team around him can help with the growing process & SF will still win games.
Fans need to realize all this, a lot will get it and as we've seen in here a lot of people won't. It's all about instant gratification now. It seems like some almost want him to fail for their own selfish reasons. Weird stuff. People judging him off nothing is a dumb way to go about it. Kids gotta play football and not just a game or two...he needs a lot of it, but if fans and Lance can weather the storm of up and down play, he's got a chance to be a damn good QB with this team.
Agree on your point that if Lance played more, he'd be neck and neck with Trevor Lawrence for the first pick/first round spot.
Covid came at the right time for Trey and the 49ers, just like Jimmy's injury came at the right time for Bosa.
I think sitting Trey benefits him and the team in a lot of ways. Team can shoot for a playoff spot, and Trey gets to see how a NFL QB handles himself in front of the press, how he practices, his mindset and attitude, how he takes care of his body (or how not to take care of his body -- I'm disturbed by how he's sliding the same way Jimmy is, and that he's taking on Linebackers the same way Jimmy is).
I also don't think he'll start out with a lot of struggling (by that I mean a lot of losses) because if you surround Trey with a good team, he can go directly into the playoffs. Dak Prescott would be my example of that.
The hardest thing about intangibles is there's no stats for those. You have to look at the play. Jimmy has a ton of intangibles, just by looking at what he does on the field and in given situations (2019 games in New Orleans, Steelers etc...) But from what I've seen of him - he has the most needed intangibles vs a guy like Johnny Manziel. I'm confident he can continue to develop from the Neck up.
As for Reps, he's getting them now. And at a very high level vs his collegiate days. Technically speaking, Trey would still be in school getting reps at North Dakota State (if he didn't submit for the 2021 NFL draft) vs live reps against elite athletes in the NFL at 4949 Marie P. Debartolo Way.
In practice they can stop play and go over the mistakes a lot easier than in a real live game. All in all, I'm confident we'll see Jimmy's mind in a Trey Lance body. That's what Kyle wanted and I think that's what Kyle is shooting for by drafting Trey. If we can get two number 1 picks for Jimmy, even better -- but for that to happen -- Jimmy's got to win the super bowl.
Trey developing beyond Jimmy. Trey's athleticism is so sky high - and if you look at Kyle's run game now, it ain't nuthin' yet once Trey's the QB 1. That run game is going to be so devastating because of the creativity of Kyle, the presence of Mitchell, and the development of that OLine. That OLine isn't the same OLine that we had back in 2017 for sure.
3rd and short will be impossible to stop. I remember the '94 49ers averaging almost 6 yards per play. I think the Trey offense can go beyond that level.