Originally posted by BamaNiner:
If he's not starting game 1 we have real problems. It would mean my prediction of him simply not being able to play from an nfl pocket would be true. At that point it's just a sink cost and you move on.
I feel dirty agreeing with Bama, but I agree with this. Not necessarily for the same reasons, though.
If Trey isn't starting next year, you have to keep JG. One of the greatest benefits of having a QB on a rookie contract, is that you can fill out the rest of the roster with money that would otherwise go to the QB. If Trey isn't starting next year, you have now lost 40% of his rookie contract savings (assuming fifth year option). It's a significant possibility year three won't be great either, since a) Lance won't have had significant & important regular season playtime, and b) Lance will be three years removed from any important reps
at all. So, in all likelihood you have lost 60% of his rookie contract savings, if we assume year three won't be full of stellar performances (it may or may not, but herein let's assume it will be fairly bumpy). You are now in 2023, have other players who are older, other players requiring new contracts, unforeseen injuries, and so on.
I just don't see how it's prudent to stick with JG next year, regardless of what transpires from here on out. Further, anything that forces the 49ers to keep JG, likely also suggests something bad re Lance. And, that would be a sunk cost I don't want to think about.