Here is my first attempt at applying this pyramid philosophy to each team. Since Madden OVR is public information and I don't have a better alternative, I'm using those values.
These weightings were applied to each team's roster (Madden 23 OVR numbers).
The aggregate scoring is the dot product of the position and positional value above. The data is normalized and rounded. With a 0-17 value for normalized wins. Finally those values are compared to the W/L lines.
Teams which appear underrated:
Bills, Packers, Raiders, and Buccaneers
Teams which appear to be overrated:
Cardinals, Bears, Broncos, Lions, Colts, Giants, Seahawks, and Titans.
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If we manipulate Lance's OVR number, here are some interesting outcomes (with all other values held constant):
11-win season if Lance can have a 77 OVR (e.g. Lawrence, Tua, Jones)
12-win season if Lance can have an 82 OVR (e.g. Tannehill, Carr, Murray)
13-win season if Lance can have an 88 OVR (e.g. Herbert, Wilson, Burrow, Prescott)
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Any armchair GMs, let me know about the scoring on the first image. Obviously, the outcomes will change based on those weightings. Thoughts?
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Power Rankings using Football Positional Value Pyramid + Madden OVR scores
Aug 7, 2022 at 5:35 PM
- NinerBuff
- The Election Dude
- Posts: 21,443
Aug 8, 2022 at 9:44 AM
- 49erFaithful6
- Veteran
- Posts: 36,965
QB carries a lot of weight as it should. Here's what I forecast:
Colts Ryan will have a great year. Madden has Tannehill better than Ryan, this is wrong.
76 for Lawrence and 72 Lance.. I get it.. it's based on what they did in 2021 which is not much.. but as you mention they could breakout and dramatically outperform their rating.
Is this the year it catches up with Brady.. he's the top rated 97 at age 45, a testament to his longevity.
There are so many numbers here, I could have sworn this was a 5GR post.
Colts Ryan will have a great year. Madden has Tannehill better than Ryan, this is wrong.
76 for Lawrence and 72 Lance.. I get it.. it's based on what they did in 2021 which is not much.. but as you mention they could breakout and dramatically outperform their rating.
Is this the year it catches up with Brady.. he's the top rated 97 at age 45, a testament to his longevity.
There are so many numbers here, I could have sworn this was a 5GR post.
Aug 8, 2022 at 9:55 AM
- NinerBuff
- The Election Dude
- Posts: 21,443
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
QB carries a lot of weight as it should. Here's what I forecast:
Colts Ryan will have a great year. Madden has Tannehill better than Ryan, this is wrong.
76 for Lawrence and 72 Lance.. I get it.. it's based on what they did in 2021 which is not much.. but as you mention they could breakout and dramatically outperform their rating.
Is this the year it catches up with Brady.. he's the top rated 97 at age 45, a testament to his longevity.
There are so many numbers here, I could have sworn this was a 5GR post.
I agree Tannehill is too high.
It is interesting that even with this analysis and my weightings, the Niners and Rams are very close.