
These weightings were applied to each team's roster (Madden 23 OVR numbers).

The aggregate scoring is the dot product of the position and positional value above. The data is normalized and rounded. With a 0-17 value for normalized wins. Finally those values are compared to the W/L lines.
Teams which appear underrated:
Bills, Packers, Raiders, and Buccaneers
Teams which appear to be overrated:
Cardinals, Bears, Broncos, Lions, Colts, Giants, Seahawks, and Titans.
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If we manipulate Lance's OVR number, here are some interesting outcomes (with all other values held constant):
11-win season if Lance can have a 77 OVR (e.g. Lawrence, Tua, Jones)
12-win season if Lance can have an 82 OVR (e.g. Tannehill, Carr, Murray)
13-win season if Lance can have an 88 OVR (e.g. Herbert, Wilson, Burrow, Prescott)
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Any armchair GMs, let me know about the scoring on the first image. Obviously, the outcomes will change based on those weightings. Thoughts?