Originally posted by SmokeyJoe:
Originally posted by GoreGoreGore:
10-15+ years ago this could easily backfire, but there's so much QB talent now coming out in the draft. For the past 5 years it's been such of influx of QBs going early in drafts. I'm sure next year will be another wave of a couple great prospects. If not, there's always trade/FA, and Chicago could be a very good destination if they have another solid draft and hire the right coach.
From the first link I provided a couple posts up:
'The unprecedented demand for QBs on rookie contracts is showing signs of driving a panic rush on QBs in the top end of the first round in 2021, with QBs who might have previously carried a second round scouting rating being discussed as top ten prospects. The problem with this scenario, if it truly plays out like that, is that the supply of starting quality QB prospects is showing no signs of increasing to meet demand.'
I think the study is somewhat flawed (mostly due to the fact they had to project some and also subjectively define 'success') but I do think it's worth questioning if there actually is so much QB talent coming in or if we assume that because more teams are reaching for QBs early.
Yeah I was going to say that I didn't think there have been many "great" prospects. I never thought Lance, Wilson, Mac jones, fields were great prospects. I liked fields the most for what Kyle was saying he desired at the time. I thought only Lawrence was a "great" prospect.
i didn't think there was a single decent prospect in the first round in 2022, obviously Brock has shown to be the only prospect that was worth drafting that year.
2020, I loved burrow and thought he was a slam dunk. The one I was wrong about was Herbert. I didn't think he would be bad but I didn't expect him to play how he has shown, although I think he's overrated. Top 10 qb but I don't consider him elite, yet, although he's had crap coaching. So who knows how he will look with a competent coach.
2023, I really liked stroud but I wasn't sold on him like I was burrow.
my point is that you can shovel as many qb prospects and draft them wherever, it doesn't mean that most of them are great prospects. Caleb Williams is probably one of the best qb prospects over the last 5 years. If he was in the same draft as Lawrence, it would be a tough decision on which one to pick, IMO. And I really liked Lawrence as a prospect.