Frank Gore is getting 16.5 carries per game and gaining 4.9 yards per carry, with an additional 2.25 passing targets per game, 4.33 yards per target. This is out of a total of about 24 RB carries per game that the 49ers divvy out, about 2/3rds of the running load and 9/16 RB passing targets.
With the return of Brandon Jacobs and the impressive play of Kendall Hunter (esp. in the passing game), maybe its about time to cut Gore's workload by 1/4th or so to ~12 carries a game, 50% of the workload. The remainder would be shared by Hunter and Jacobs based on the situation (i.e. short yardage for Jacobs) . On a per carry basis, Hunter is playing like Ray Rice (#2 DVOA in NFL), and was 10th in DVOA last year as a receiver.
As a result, I think its time to cut down on Gore's carries to keep him fresher for a long period of time. If you cut him down to 12 carries/game from here on out, he still finishes with 1,033 yards on 209 carries, maybe more with fresher legs, maybe more with the 49ers playing with the lead more. In place of that, you have Hunter in more plays as a more explosive receiving presence and game-breaking ability out of the backfield...Gore has never been a great pass-catcher. You also reduce the chance of Gore getting injured -- he'll be fresher for the playoffs.
Thoughts?
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Frank Gore Thread
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:22 PM
- nickbradley
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Oct 5, 2012 at 1:24 PM
- jreff22
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no
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:25 PM
- DaDivaRecieva15
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nickbradley returns
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:25 PM
- blacksailsmd
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Originally posted by jreff22:this
no
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:26 PM
- nickbradley
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Originally posted by jreff22:
no
Why not? same production, less wear and tear.
Also, more production out of the passing game with Hunter in there.
Screens are a good thing when you get pressured like smith does. Gore isn't very good at screen plays, you know that!
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:26 PM
- DonnieDarko
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no he's still a fuggin beast, let him feast
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:27 PM
- mayo49
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He has gradually been talking himself out of games more frequently. By the end of the season him and Hunter will be an almost 60/40 on carries, I predict.
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:28 PM
- nickbradley
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Originally posted by DaDivaRecieva15:
nickbradley returns
Eh, I did a couple weeks ago, but this place is kind of a ghost town...
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:28 PM
- nickbradley
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Originally posted by mayo49:
He has gradually been talking himself out of games more frequently. By the end of the season him and Hunter will be an almost 60/40 on carries, I predict.
Jacobs = 0?
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:30 PM
- nickbradley
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Originally posted by mayo49:
He has gradually been talking himself out of games more frequently. By the end of the season him and Hunter will be an almost 60/40 on carries, I predict.
I think 50/30/20 Gore/Hunter/Jacobs may be more likely
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:31 PM
- jreff22
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Originally posted by nickbradley:
Originally posted by jreff22:
no
Why not? same production, less wear and tear.
Also, more production out of the passing game with Hunter in there.
Screens are a good thing when you get pressured like smith does. Gore isn't very good at screen plays, you know that!
when it stops working you make a change
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:34 PM
- NinerBuff
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I think it's inevitable that Gore's touches will reduce as they integrate Jacobs...
of the 24 RB carries / game...
Gore ~ 14 carries
Hunter ~ 5 carries
Jacobs ~ 5 carries
There are also probably 8 carries per game from other players... QB, FB, WR, TE, DL and all bets are off for those!
of the 24 RB carries / game...
Gore ~ 14 carries
Hunter ~ 5 carries
Jacobs ~ 5 carries
There are also probably 8 carries per game from other players... QB, FB, WR, TE, DL and all bets are off for those!
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:35 PM
- teeohh
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Yes because I have hunter on my fantasy team
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:36 PM
- nickbradley
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Originally posted by jreff22:
when it stops working you make a change
What about right now???
The 49ers are 31st in Adjusted Sack Rate and Gore makes for a questionable safety valve....
Oct 5, 2012 at 1:38 PM
- fly15
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Gire is gonna get mad