Originally posted by NinerGM:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
Originally posted by NinerGM:
Originally posted by YACBros85:
That doesn't add up. We had the healthiest team in 2012 and still lost the SB. We went to the SB with the healthiest and the 27 healthiest teams and both outcomes were the same. Does being the healthiest team make it easier to get to the SB? Perhaps. But it doesn't guarantee anything.
Well nothing in a game where human intervention determines outcomes is guaranteed, however like the draft, you're banking on probability. It's more likely you'll make the SB when you're healthy just like higher picks in the draft are more talented and more likely to succeed at the the next level. It's not a guarantee, but you're not going to get many teams to be in favor of odds that work against them.
You all are missing my entire point. That chart that NC posted proves nothing. Anyone using it to make a point about why we haven't won a SB is spreading speculative bs. Especiallly when you don't take into account the health of our opponent in those games.
TBF, the AGL was noted in response to NinerBuff who was discussing thoughts on why we've gone through so many OL, TE, and RB's in this scheme. Did we practice too hard? I posted the AGL season end results so he could see the differences in Harbaugh/Fangio to Kyle+. You can see the Harbaugh era was our most healthy by far but the price was, as they got older, they all physically broke. Here, it's Caution City and relying on unorthodox numbers at positions (PS + Street FA's) to get through a season.
Obviously the healthy you are the better shot you've got as I showed you the correlation of team injuries to playoffs.
I agree with your original premise with elguapo and yes, you should look at the opponent too.
But that is who I was responding to. Elguapo was speculating that if we were healthier we would have 8 SB's rn. Disp was the other poster I was respinding to and they brought up Justin Smith and Aldon Smith playing less than 100% in the SB. I had to remind him that the ravens were not number 1 in health that season and that they were dealing with injuries with some of their top talents as well.
As far as the depth at certain position groups vs others such as having more RB's and TE's vs having more WR's is not unorthodox considering the type of ball that Shanahan wants to play. You said it yourself. McVay, LaFleur, and Shanahan all come from the same coaching tree but run different variations. The packers, under LaFleur, have been pass-centric from the get go. McVay became more pass-centric after they traded for Stafford. Kyle has never shown any signs of becoming pass-centric. So, no, I do not find it unorthodox to be deeper at positions that make sense on a philosophical level. It would be unorthodox if Shanahan kept 7 or 8 WR's.
By the way, Lynch said they never planned on keeping 5 RB's and 4 TE's. We are actually down to 4 RB's now and most likely won't keep 4 TE's either.
I have to slightly disagree here. He was absolutely more pass-oriented when he had Matt Ryan and that was one the big criticisms with their SB loss to the Pats; too much passing towards the end of the game and not enough time off the clock.
But I think I hear what you're saying YAC - pass-centric vs pass-oriented.
TBF, Atlanta was WAY more pass-oriented before Kyle got there. In 2016 Ryan threw the fewest passes he had since his sophmore season in 2009 and in 2015 and 16 they had about 100 more attempts rushing, give or take a few, than they had over the previous 4 seasons. Atlanta was built to throw the ball.
Also worth noting, in 2016 the Falcons were 26th in the league in pass attempts yet Ryan won MVP. , 12th in rush attempts.
2015 they were 12th in passing attempts and 16th in rushing attempts.
2015 they finished 8-8 and 2016 they were in the super bowl
in 2014 they were 3rd in passing attempts and 27th in rush attempts
2013 they were 3rd in passing attempts and 32nd in rush attempts
in 2012 they were 8th in passing attempts and 26th in rushing attempts.
Kyle took a team that for years was one of the most pass heavy teams in the league and made them one of the least while increasing a commitment to the run and there's no coincidence they went to the SB.