Originally posted by SmokeyJoe:
I'm not saying he's good or bad at ranking OLs. He could be the best in the business and it still wouldn't be a huge deal to me. There's a difference between ranking units across teams in the league and applying those ranks to win probability.
Detroit would not be the odds on favorite to win it all even with a T1 QB because their defense isn't good enough IMO. And besides isn't your argument that the QB has to play like a T1 QB, not actually be one? That's why you took Detroit right? Because they have a dominant OL and their QB is playing great.
You don't have to ask me which unit combination is a better predictor of winning a SB championship, because I don't believe thats a good way of judging a teams chances. I generally think you need a QB to be playing well, good coaching, and at least a solid defense, and then there are a variety of ways to get it done outside of that.
But his pre-playoff rankings DID prove in the W/L column. Isn't that the point? And that was just a sole focus on trenches, nothing else.
Ahhh, you're a defensive guy. Defense wins Championships? Few and far between these days.
Tier 1 OL gives your QB the best odds to play at an optimal level. That range will still vary based on that QB's skill set. Do you think Goff is playing at a tier 1 level? He is playing at the highest level of his career and we know it isn't because of his defense. It's his OL helping a ton.
So, within an entire defense, in terms of unit combos, have you seen better combos (e.g. tier 1 pass rush/DL + QB? Secondary? Linebackers?).
Based on your last paragraph you might as well say, "I think you need a top HC, GM, QB, offense, defense and ST." LOL. There are a variety of ways to win it all. I do agree. This has just been proven to be best recently. It is a passing league. I say that knowing two teams that may make the Superbowl pass the least in the NFL.
[ Edited by NCommand on Jan 24, 2024 at 2:52 PM ]