Originally posted by 49erphan:
Originally posted by OnTheClock:
In any case, to stay on topic, Kaepernick had three major issues that I had problems with last season:
1) Decision-Making: Forcing the primary read no matter what and scrambling and RUNNING OUT OF BOUNDS FOR A LOSS instead of throwing it away. PLEASE.. PLEASE just throw the ball away if it's not there. 0 yards gained is better than -3 or more yards lost.
2) Vision: Looking deep. And looking deep. And looking deep but NEVER looking short or at the outlets. One fundamental vision/progression teaching for QBs is to look high-low. CK endured a lot of pressure because he only looked high -- he REFUSED to take what the defense gave him. Instead of taking the first down or potential big play from the shorter routes, he was far, far to insistent on waiting and hoping the deep route would open up. Too focused on the 50 yard bombs or deep TDs.
3) Touch: Too many rocket balls on the few passes he did make to the flats. Receivers seemed to really struggle catching slants -- even Boldin -- and I think this was also partly due to CK often times telegraphing that route.
Decision making: I agree with your assessment and think that it is a manifestation of one of his somewhat weaker attributes (all quarterbacks have weaknesses) - situational and field awareness. I suspect that the Harbaugh/Roman system tended to exaggerate this weakness. I think he will generally improve in situational and field awareness as he gets more experienced and I suspect he will have little to no problem with taking a loss by running out of bounds rather than just throw the ball away (I think he showed improvement with that toward the end of the season.)
Vision: I think Kap's relative weakness (relative especially to greats like Aaron Rodgers) in situational/field awareness plays into this as well. Probably too often, he doesn't seem to feel confident in anticipating where the receiver will get free and so he seems to want to wait a couple more beats to make sure. His rifle arm helps him get away with that (and he probably relied on that heavily in college), but backfield defensive players in the NFL are really quick and/or fast so that his waiting often limits the receiver's YAC. (I'm not saying he does that all the time - far from it; it's something he needs more work on avoiding, though.)
Touch: yep
When I scouted Kaepernick the year before we drafted him, he was my favorite QB in that class. While I didn't have him ultimately graded above Newton, his long term ability and other intangibles made him my favorite QB and one that I most hoped we would take if we took one that year. All that said, from the very beginning I knew he was going to be a project for at least 3 - 4 years and that was one thing I said we were going to have to deal with. In college, he made incremental improvements year after year, but it took him all four years to get to be a top NFL prospect.
My expectation was he would eventually get to the point where he could play, but would not be consistently good until he truly learned to be a complete NFL QB, which I thought would take him around 4 years. At this point, he's going into what, his fifth year? My expectation is that at this point he will again improve and hopefully in a way where it is VERY noticeable. That's the hope. A Kaepernick who makes better decisions is much more dangerous. Better utilization of the backs out of the backfield hopefully will help Kaep develop a more frequent tendency to scan through his progressions and get the ball to those outlets when that's what's immediately open.