Originally posted by Niners816:
How do you like to grade your defenses? While I like both yards and points for offense, I'm more of just a Points allowed for defense. Bend but don't breaks defense are a thing and can be quite successful. Both Joe and Tom have benefited greatly from defenses based on points allowed.
JOE
1981 2nd Points allowed
1984 1st pts allowed
1988 8th pts allowed
1989 3rd pts allowed
TOM
2001 6th pts allowed
2003 1st pts allowed
2004 2nd pts allowed
2007 4th pts allowed
2011 15th pts allowed
2014 8th pts allowed
2016 1st pts allowed
2017 5th pts allowed
Brady had lost with defense ranked 4th, 15th and 5th.
First of all I'm sure you know the NFL ranks defense by yards allowed stat.
I look at both.
Look at the final 4 defenses in the NFL playoffs this year. One clearly doesn't belong.
You had Vikings who were #1 in points and yards allowed.
You had the Jags who were #2 in points and yards allowed
You had the Eagles who were #4 in points and yards allowed
You had the Patriots who were #5 in points and....#29 in yards allowed.
Something doesn't compute there.
Joe never had a defense in the SB who wasn't top 10 in either category.
Also the Pats D in 2007 was horribly overrated. I was telling my friends who are all pats fans all year that season that the defense was crap and was going to bite them in the ass. It did.
I was saying the same thing this year and to be fair the 2007 defense was WAY better than this one.
The whole bend but don't break defense is another way of saying lucky. Well luck runs out eventually. You can only have so many offenses make bonehead mistakes or luck out on weird catch rules.
There are pros and cons to considering how good a defense is based on just points allowed
Pro - at the end of the day it's points that win games
Cons - defensive TDs by the other team count against points allowed, so do special team TDs. Turnovers by the other team give defenses short field to defend. If the team has a really good offense who doesn't come off the field much it only allows you to score so many points against them.
Same for yards allowed
Pro - if the other team can't get yards they typically can't score many points
Con - Yards don't win games.
That's why I look at both. A team who is top 10 in both categories typically shows a defense who can not only keep the other team from marching down the field but also keep them from scoring points.