Johnny D, THL,
Pattern match is probably one of the most effective defenses vs the pass and it is very difficult for a QB to anticipate unless the throw is made to an open spots to the normal holes in the coverage. These throws are very high end throws which most QB's just don't make. Let's say a slot receiver has an option route to go right at Kam at about 10 yards. Even if the QB and the WR anticipate the correct direction, if Kam and his help are communicating well, then the match defender picks up the slot receiver no matter which way he breaks. Timed well, the match defender can jump it for an INT. This means not only does the QB need to already predict which way his target is going to break, the pass cannot lead too much and cannot be thrown too far behind.
Basically, there's probably only about 3-4 QB's AND targets in the league who can coordinate this properly.
We have been thinking about a Cover 3 buster but no one has been thinking about a Pattern Match buster.
What about stacking receivers in the formation similar to what SEA did in the INT Wilson threw in the Superbowl? Stack the targets and send them both at Kam. Have one run past him and have one stop about 3 yards in front of him. The QB simply reads whether Kam stays, falls back, or jumps the short route. If he stays, then both routes are open. If he falls back or jumps...well, then the options are simple. This is sort of similar to what other teams have done with sending a route into the cover 3 zone and then sending a delayed underneath or over route. But the problem is that those flood concepts rely on more time in the pocket OR throwing to a blind spot whereas the stacked concept provide quick hitters.
For example, the play above has Jones committing his route early so Tartt was able to jump to the first receiver and then bounce onto Jones. What if ATL sent both Jones and the first receiver to Tartt and THEN had Jones stop short underneath while the first receiver cut just after Tartt. Then Tartt would be delayed a little more.
[ Edited by Joecool on Nov 19, 2015 at 2:21 PM ]