Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by thl408:
Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by thl408:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by 9ers4eva:
You need to show how exactly how the scheme is causing these injuries more frequently than other schemes. Otherwise all you have is a hypothesis
No I don't. None of Kyle's protégés run his system the same way. Even their philosophy is different. You don't need to look anywhere past what's in front of your face here. Or don't.
Explain to me how it's luck when it's been a recurring and consistent theme all 6 years? If it was luck, we'd easily have regressed back to the mean by now. In fact the AGL research shows you outlier teams usually bounce back to their norm or mean the very next year.
So explain to me the luck angle.
what.. what a cop out. you know that is some sorry s**t posting there.. absurd claims but doesn't need to provide any proof ..thats just weaksauce
but that is every NC post
NC, what is it about Kyle's scheme/operation/philosophy that makes it more injury prone for the players? I'll list some things so you can either use them, or perhaps it sparks a reason that I didn't list:
- amount of run plays called
- variation of run plays (blocking schemes)
- high amount of playaction
- high amount of presnap motion
- high amount of QB under center (compared to other teams)
- WRs often aligned in a reduced split (near the OT/TE)
- high amount of throws over the middle
- high amount of 21 personnel (using a FB)
- not enough 11 personnel (compared to other teams)
- practices are too hard
- practices are too easy (I listed both because I don't know how his practices compares to other teams)
- poor nutrition in the cafeteria (no idea how either of us can definitively claim either way on this)
I'll take a, "idk it just is", answer too.
Physicality. Like Fangio's old scheme eating through the front 7. We just are more run centric than any other team and that physicality catches up over time; and to the teams we just played (what, 0-11 the next week after playing us). Then to pass protection, it's hard to be run centric and then shift gears and pass protect esp. on PA and longer developing plays. IIRC, our average time to throw is 3.64s (that's a long time to hold). Throw in all the added miles on pre snap motion, blocking on the move, mismatches to run certain sets, it tends to put some on islands. Throw in the mental aspect...so much IQ goes into each play, guys running against the grain, etc. Smaller more agile against bigger, more physical DL...I know we moved away from that more this year for that reason. Just some thoughts typing out loud. Many more had been laid out in the injury thread over the years by many others. The cumulative wear and tear.
It's pretty moot though. The scheme isn't changing. So we just need to work around it and make sure we're 3 deep in every position minus FB. Like NY always says, "It is what it is..." I'm just adding, "...so make sure you're prepared for it annually." --- always carry 3 QB's, 4 TE's, 5 RB's, 10 OL, etc.
Just to clarify, I say the same thing about offenses that rely on running QB's. It's going to catch up eventually and this was the year every one got hurt.
The 49ers have ranked top five in rushing attempts twice in Kyle's tenure (2019, 2021). I don't know if there were more injuries on offense during those seasons.
I listed things that are somewhat unique to Kyle's offensive scheme, even though multiple NFL teams do some combination of these things so it's not truly unique, just some characteristics of Kyle's scheme off the top of my head.
"it's hard to be run centric and then shift gears and pass protect". All NFL teams do this. Why is this a reason to suspect that it creates more injuries?
"so much IQ goes into each play". Asking players to think more causes more injuries? wat?
I think some players are simply built to not get injured. Laken Tomlinson never missed a game for the 49ers. He became a Jet and didn't miss a single game for them this season. Brendl and McG didn't miss a game this season, but McG has missed games in the past. There is no one single answer to why the 49ers have been getting more injured than ALL other teams. To chalk it up as the 49ers' scheme being the culprit is too convenient.
FTFY
I've said about 100 times in here, scheme is not THE issue but AN issue when looking across the entire volume of AGL over the past 6 years. You can dismiss that or choose your level of degree (high or low). You can see the stark difference under the Harbaugh regime but that broke too in those schemes at the very end with their high volume of snaps.
Here's are the end results again:
Historical AGL Ranks: Lower = Healthiest
2008 - 6th
2009 - 23rd
2010 - 4th
2011 - 8th (NFCCG)
2012 - 1st (Superbowl)
2013 - 23rd (NFCCG)
2014 - 26th
2015 - 26th
2016 - 24th
2017 - 23rd
2018 - 29th
2019 - 27th (Superbowl)
2020 - 32nd
2021 - 29th (NFCCG)
2022 - Pending April data (4 QB's)(NFCCG)
Top 2, top 5, top 7 in rush volume annually? Nobody has run more than us especially over the 6 years at the physicality at which we did it. That breaks the opposition but it also breaks your own team over time too.
The switching gears comment is more playing to guys strengths and what they were brought in to do...run block. Then to switch gears to play to their weakness, pass protection seems to be where most of their injuries come from.
The IQ comment is more around the football mantra that he who hesitates, gets injured. Playing in an on-the-move cerebral scheme 'might' lead to those hesitations where guys get injured too, not in the right places at the right times, missing assignments leading to getting washed over, etc.
So based on your assessment, we draft more injury prone players than any other team? Do you think these players are drafted to fit the scheme?
As to your last line, isn't chalking everything up to "luck" the same concept? The difference here is there is concrete evidence of a very very consistent pattern YOY for 6+ years. That would seem to eliminate the "luck" factor. So much so, it's easy to predict year 7. You don't need predictive modeling for that.
Are we are talking Kyle's offensive scheme or defense too? Because if it's just offense, which I've been focusing on when you mention "Kyle's scheme", then that AGL list should be tailored to just offensive players. I'm not asking you to do that, just that the list is not relevant to what you and I have been discussing about Kyle's scheme. I was hoping that was clear when I listed a bunch of offensive characteristics in the post above - we're talking offensive scheme.
I just can't get on board with the bolded about how thinking more results in more injuries. I can't prove you wrong though.
I agree with you that there is no one single answer. But I have not seen evidence that it's the offensive scheme that promotes more injury. I don't know what to call this type of logic you are using - "People that breathe oxygen will die". Whatever the term is, I feel like that's the logic being applied by saying, "Players in Kyle's scheme are more likely to get injured". It's looking at the result, then pointing to some reason that is related, but can't be proven to play a role.
This might surprise you, but Kyle's scheme isn't some unorthodox style of offense. The most unique thing about Kyle's scheme is the players he's using to execute it. Sure he lines up players in different positions, but then now we're talking about how Deebo in the backfield running to the flat, or CMC running a slant from the slot promotes more injuries.