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Originally posted by stefano89:
Originally posted by random49er:
We're simply in an age now where people would rather go with the conspiracy theory instead of the utter truth. A good week after I said what I said below,...who's the new signing and what's the scoop on him, per 49ersWZ??



An injury plagued career and a guy that has never gone wire-to-wire.

As I suggested,...isin't this exact proof of the clear stategy we have towards injury-prone players? I said this before the signing a few pages back (as well as before other signings a year or so ago):

Originally posted by random49er:
2) Jason Verrett has injury problems because of our staff? Uhhh, no. He has injury problems because he's Jason Verrett. We roll the dice on oft-injured players. The propaganda here points to something in the muscle milk in our building that's causing this,...but we have a front office that roles the dice when it comes to cheaper, previously-injured players, and thus far it has paid off for us. It's not going to work 100% of the time, but it saves on the cap, and it has worked for us. Cant knock the hustle.

Verrett, that Mostert gamebreaker guy, the list goes on and on....whatever,...The strategy is clear: For the 49ers staff, Talent > Less Injuries. You win some, you lose some,...but when u win, you end up with a talent-laden team and a bunch of guys that are woefully underpaid until their next contract. Are you going to have injuries? Most certainly, but so will everyone else.

It's like the Jimmy G stuff from a couple years ago.

Just kinda perplexes me that many of you would rather go with the conspiracy theory and "your gut" than the truth that is right there in front of you with evidence provided over and over again. Amazing.

the truth is yes our team does like to acquire injury prone players. that is a huge part of the problem. unfortunately that is only one part of a massive problem that is much bigger an worse than that one thing.

I couldn't agree more. It's definitely a reason but just a piece of the puzzle. Not that any of us propose to know all the pieces but we have the end-result facts to say, "There is definitely something significantly wrong here and it's been wildly consistent and predictable for 9 straight years now."

And if they don't fix it, even if you believe this is an elite roster that can win a Superbowl, it's all moot.
Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by stefano89:
Originally posted by random49er:
We're simply in an age now where people would rather go with the conspiracy theory instead of the utter truth. A good week after I said what I said below,...who's the new signing and what's the scoop on him, per 49ersWZ??



An injury plagued career and a guy that has never gone wire-to-wire.

As I suggested,...isin't this exact proof of the clear stategy we have towards injury-prone players? I said this before the signing a few pages back (as well as before other signings a year or so ago):

Originally posted by random49er:
2) Jason Verrett has injury problems because of our staff? Uhhh, no. He has injury problems because he's Jason Verrett. We roll the dice on oft-injured players. The propaganda here points to something in the muscle milk in our building that's causing this,...but we have a front office that roles the dice when it comes to cheaper, previously-injured players, and thus far it has paid off for us. It's not going to work 100% of the time, but it saves on the cap, and it has worked for us. Cant knock the hustle.

Verrett, that Mostert gamebreaker guy, the list goes on and on....whatever,...The strategy is clear: For the 49ers staff, Talent > Less Injuries. You win some, you lose some,...but when u win, you end up with a talent-laden team and a bunch of guys that are woefully underpaid until their next contract. Are you going to have injuries? Most certainly, but so will everyone else.

It's like the Jimmy G stuff from a couple years ago.

Just kinda perplexes me that many of you would rather go with the conspiracy theory and "your gut" than the truth that is right there in front of you with evidence provided over and over again. Amazing.

the truth is yes our team does like to acquire injury prone players. that is a huge part of the problem. unfortunately that is only one part of a massive problem that is much bigger an worse than that one thing.

I couldn't agree more. It's definitely a reason but just a piece of the puzzle. Not that any of us propose to know all the pieces but we have the end-result facts to say, "There is definitely something significantly wrong here and it's been wildly consistent and predictable for 9 straight years now."

And if they don't fix it, even if you believe this is an elite roster that can win a Superbowl, it's all moot.

100%
Originally posted by NCommand:
I couldn't agree more. It's definitely a reason but just a piece of the puzzle. Not that any of us propose to know all the pieces but we have the end-result facts to say, "There is definitely something significantly wrong here and it's been wildly consistent and predictable for 9 straight years now."

And if they don't fix it, even if you believe this is an elite roster that can win a Superbowl, it's all moot.

You mean conspiracy theories to one person could mean a trend or pattern of behavior to another? Not sure based on the evidence so far that the issue is debatable.

Even the FO changed the bulk of the conditioning staff based on the same evidence right? I think they might be looking for smoke in the wrong place. Unless there are many spot fires that are as consistent as the one constant we know as York/Maraathe.
Originally posted by KeepRabbitsOut:
Originally posted by NCommand:
I couldn't agree more. It's definitely a reason but just a piece of the puzzle. Not that any of us propose to know all the pieces but we have the end-result facts to say, "There is definitely something significantly wrong here and it's been wildly consistent and predictable for 9 straight years now."

And if they don't fix it, even if you believe this is an elite roster that can win a Superbowl, it's all moot.

You mean conspiracy theories to one person could mean a trend or pattern of behavior to another? Not sure based on the evidence so far that the issue is debatable.

Even the FO changed the bulk of the conditioning staff based on the same evidence right? I think they might be looking for smoke in the wrong place. Unless there are many spot fires that are as consistent as the one constant we know as York/Maraathe.

Haha. It's not, really. Especially because it's inn relation to the 31 other teams and you see the patterns of rebound with most teams who have a down year in health.

You, as always, are correct sir.
  • Giedi
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Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by KeepRabbitsOut:
Originally posted by NCommand:
I couldn't agree more. It's definitely a reason but just a piece of the puzzle. Not that any of us propose to know all the pieces but we have the end-result facts to say, "There is definitely something significantly wrong here and it's been wildly consistent and predictable for 9 straight years now."

And if they don't fix it, even if you believe this is an elite roster that can win a Superbowl, it's all moot.

You mean conspiracy theories to one person could mean a trend or pattern of behavior to another? Not sure based on the evidence so far that the issue is debatable.

Even the FO changed the bulk of the conditioning staff based on the same evidence right? I think they might be looking for smoke in the wrong place. Unless there are many spot fires that are as consistent as the one constant we know as York/Maraathe.

Haha. It's not, really. Especially because it's inn relation to the 31 other teams and you see the patterns of rebound with most teams who have a down year in health.

You, as always, are correct sir.

Conspiracy theories existing or not existing, the bottom line is that injuries directly affect wins and losses, and to a certain extent our 5 Lombardie's are a testamentary evidence to those teams having very few or non-existent significant injuries during the entire course of the season and post season. To the extent that ShanaLynch can reduce or solve the injury situation relatively better than the rest of the other 31 teams, will enhance our win/loss percentages and increase the chance of getting that 6th Lombardi.
Originally posted by Giedi:
Conspiracy theories existing or not existing, the bottom line is that injuries directly affect wins and losses, and to a certain extent our 5 Lombardie's are a testamentary evidence to those teams having very few or non-existent significant injuries during the entire course of the season and post season. To the extent that ShanaLynch can reduce or solve the injury situation relatively better than the rest of the other 31 teams, will enhance our win/loss percentages and increase the chance of getting that 6th Lombardi.

I certainly looks that way Ollie...Geidi.
It is hard not to think how dominant this current regime might have been.
Maybe with how fearless Deebo played the tide has turned in spite of everything.
Originally posted by Giedi:
Conspiracy theories existing or not existing, the bottom line is that injuries directly affect wins and losses, and to a certain extent our 5 Lombardie's are a testamentary evidence to those teams having very few or non-existent significant injuries during the entire course of the season and post season. To the extent that ShanaLynch can reduce or solve the injury situation relatively better than the rest of the other 31 teams, will enhance our win/loss percentages and increase the chance of getting that 6th Lombardi.

Perfectly said.
Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by Giedi:
Conspiracy theories existing or not existing, the bottom line is that injuries directly affect wins and losses, and to a certain extent our 5 Lombardie's are a testamentary evidence to those teams having very few or non-existent significant injuries during the entire course of the season and post season. To the extent that ShanaLynch can reduce or solve the injury situation relatively better than the rest of the other 31 teams, will enhance our win/loss percentages and increase the chance of getting that 6th Lombardi.

Perfectly said.

A corollary to this is that during those other handful of yrs when we were in the playoffs and came up short, it seems we always had one or more key players injured and out, or injured and trying to play. It was a bit like big Trent in our loss this yr. Don't recall the exact guys in those yrs of the heydays, but go back and look up yrs we were loaded for Lombardi and lost, and GTD you will find one or more of our key guys nicked up or out.

It has been this way for all teams thruout the league as far back as i recall into the late 70s when i first started following the 9ers. Giedi's observation that JL/KS real task is producing a playoff team that is HEALTHY thruout the yr esp including playoffs.

Getting away from moneyball tactics is one way, and we have already started down that road. If a draftee, trade, or FA of unbelievable talent but is nicked up comes available, it is key not to sign them. Look at the Dee Ford, Hurd, and McKinnon examples.

At end of the day, huge LUCK is required to make every football decision just perfect, every day, all year, every time…but how does one do this when out of the blue, freak injury stuff occurs (eg, JGs ACL last yr)…but how does GM/HC avoid things like that?
  • Giedi
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Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by stefano89:
Originally posted by random49er:
We're simply in an age now where people would rather go with the conspiracy theory instead of the utter truth. A good week after I said what I said below,...who's the new signing and what's the scoop on him, per 49ersWZ??



An injury plagued career and a guy that has never gone wire-to-wire.

As I suggested,...isin't this exact proof of the clear stategy we have towards injury-prone players? I said this before the signing a few pages back (as well as before other signings a year or so ago):

Originally posted by random49er:
2) Jason Verrett has injury problems because of our staff? Uhhh, no. He has injury problems because he's Jason Verrett. We roll the dice on oft-injured players. The propaganda here points to something in the muscle milk in our building that's causing this,...but we have a front office that roles the dice when it comes to cheaper, previously-injured players, and thus far it has paid off for us. It's not going to work 100% of the time, but it saves on the cap, and it has worked for us. Cant knock the hustle.

Verrett, that Mostert gamebreaker guy, the list goes on and on....whatever,...The strategy is clear: For the 49ers staff, Talent > Less Injuries. You win some, you lose some,...but when u win, you end up with a talent-laden team and a bunch of guys that are woefully underpaid until their next contract. Are you going to have injuries? Most certainly, but so will everyone else.

It's like the Jimmy G stuff from a couple years ago.

Just kinda perplexes me that many of you would rather go with the conspiracy theory and "your gut" than the truth that is right there in front of you with evidence provided over and over again. Amazing.

the truth is yes our team does like to acquire injury prone players. that is a huge part of the problem. unfortunately that is only one part of a massive problem that is much bigger an worse than that one thing.

I couldn't agree more. It's definitely a reason but just a piece of the puzzle. Not that any of us propose to know all the pieces but we have the end-result facts to say, "There is definitely something significantly wrong here and it's been wildly consistent and predictable for 9 straight years now."

And if they don't fix it, even if you believe this is an elite roster that can win a Superbowl, it's all moot.
This may be part of the answer. We all know Jerry ran those hills, and he was a workout warrior. Here is Roger Craig's workout. I don't think its a coincidence that our 5 super bowls there were hardly any injuries. These two led the team in a workout warrior culture. i think the 49ers have to go back to those roots. Bring back Jerry and Roger and maybe even hire them to be the strength and conditioning advisors to the assistant strength and conditioning coaches.
Part of Craig's football legend was his maniacal training. During offseasons, he ran a four-mile trail in the Edgewood Park and Natural Reserve, with an inclined hill that makes jogging, let alone running, taxing. He introduced the workout, known as running "The Hill," to Jerry Rice.
https://www.knbr.com/2018/11/01/roger-craig-has-found-his-post-football-calling/
Originally posted by Giedi:
Disagree on the pattern continuing. Banks and Moore were valuable draft capital expended on a vulnerable OLine. I think (and I Hope) this particular trend continues. I hope that they do devote at least two picks to the OLine this year. Just looking at their injury situation - they are often injured at OLine, RB, CB, and DLine positions. I'd approach the draft with a combination of best player available, and for injury depth at the positions most often injured.

In the case of the OLine, because of Kyle's system of smaller quick agile linemen outside zone blocking - they will get more injured, specially on AstroTurf, vs power gap players, and hence, ShanaLynch should anticipate that and draft not only talent but depth. Same at CB, RB and DLine. They did (I think) a decent job on vetting players for past history in the last draft, but I think they need to be much more proactive and draft also for injury -- considering the injury history of the 49ers. By that, I mean they just need to review their history of injuries, count up the injures per position and draft depth accordingly, again assuming those positions will be hit by injuries again this year.

Injury history, off the top of my head, Bosa was injured, Verett, McGlinchy, Richburg, Dee Ford, Mostert, Jeff Wilson, Kinlaw. I think they should draft depth accordingly so as to offset any specific scheme injuries that are structurally present in Kyle's offensive and defensive play designs.


Missed this awhile back but it makes really good sense. What did we carry last yr…10, or 11 DLs?

And what did we carry on OL…8, or was it occasionally 9 OLs? By rights, we need to be carrying 10 or probably 11 OLs due to ZBS and more agile , slightly smaller guys, who can get hurt a lot more going horizontally than going vertically. We do it for DLs, and we should be doing it for OLs…both trenches are the basis for NFL football. Sure a QB runs it but OL and DL are the nuts and guts of a team.

Okay fast forward to last couple yrs and who got hurt? Well, initially, one could say every position. But OL and DL were always way up there.
Fast behind them were DBs, and some of that was moneyball guys…er… guys we brot along with talent who had injury hx.

WRs usually get injured, some anyway, and we had what…6? Carry one less of those.

RBs we tend to go thru like a hot knife thru butter. And we kept 3 or usually 4.

LBs…i think was 6 and that sounds about right. Maybe could get by with one less.

TEs …3 and again that sounds about right.

STs we have been using starters at other positions doing double duty. The reasoning is understandable, but now, fortunately, we got a couple studs at gunner and PR, maybe KR.

Carrying 10-11 OLs is cumbersome because then you have to carry less somewhere else. One less WR seems one avenue, and maybe getting another from STs is another. But somehow, we not only have to carry more OLs, they need to come from somewhere in 2nd rd , or at least early 3rd.

Or as Laken, in a good trade (for us, not for Detroit). This not drafting OGs until later as we initially did, just isn't good enough. So we need not only more OLs, we need better, and especially at the OG position. We haven't been strong at OG since ….well since JL and Kyle arrived.

We took a good swing at it last yr in Banks and Moore. Unfortunately, we need to do the same thing again this yr, but this time both OGs, w/ one being an OG/C. At OTs , Brun is a better OT than OG. McK proved himself at LT subbing for Trent. Jaylon Moore can play OT as can McG if he is healthy by season start. Banks who has barely played yet at LG and hopefully Jay Moore at RG.

Our weakness is right there…both OGs…and maybe it works and we are fine. But going into season not knowing if either or both OGs will work…is exactly why it looks like a couple OGs, hopefully good ones, (one an OG/C if available) need to be taken this draft. #61 and #93 wouldn't be bad places to try and get them, either. My hope is we could burn some of our later picks and move up a tad in rd 3 or 4 , perhaps rd 5, and get our OGs, plus potential CB and S that has potential starter talent….or is better than what we currently have.
[ Edited by pasodoc9er on Apr 17, 2022 at 4:54 PM ]
^ Great takes in here fellas!
  • Giedi
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Originally posted by pasodoc9er:
Originally posted by Giedi:
Disagree on the pattern continuing. Banks and Moore were valuable draft capital expended on a vulnerable OLine. I think (and I Hope) this particular trend continues. I hope that they do devote at least two picks to the OLine this year. Just looking at their injury situation - they are often injured at OLine, RB, CB, and DLine positions. I'd approach the draft with a combination of best player available, and for injury depth at the positions most often injured.

In the case of the OLine, because of Kyle's system of smaller quick agile linemen outside zone blocking - they will get more injured, specially on AstroTurf, vs power gap players, and hence, ShanaLynch should anticipate that and draft not only talent but depth. Same at CB, RB and DLine. They did (I think) a decent job on vetting players for past history in the last draft, but I think they need to be much more proactive and draft also for injury -- considering the injury history of the 49ers. By that, I mean they just need to review their history of injuries, count up the injures per position and draft depth accordingly, again assuming those positions will be hit by injuries again this year.

Injury history, off the top of my head, Bosa was injured, Verett, McGlinchy, Richburg, Dee Ford, Mostert, Jeff Wilson, Kinlaw. I think they should draft depth accordingly so as to offset any specific scheme injuries that are structurally present in Kyle's offensive and defensive play designs.


Missed this awhile back but it makes really good sense. What did we carry last yr…10, or 11 DLs?

And what did we carry on OL…8, or was it occasionally 9 OLs? By rights, we need to be carrying 10 or probably 11 OLs due to ZBS and more agile , slightly smaller guys, who can get hurt a lot more going horizontally than going vertically. We do it for DLs, and we should be doing it for OLs…both trenches are the basis for NFL football. Sure a QB runs it but OL and DL are the nuts and guts of a team.

Okay fast forward to last couple yrs and who got hurt? Well, initially, one could say every position. But OL and DL were always way up there.
Fast behind them were DBs, and some of that was moneyball guys…er… guys we brot along with talent who had injury hx.

WRs usually get injured, some anyway, and we had what…6? Carry one less of those.

RBs we tend to go thru like a hot knife thru butter. And we kept 3 or usually 4.

LBs…i think was 6 and that sounds about right. Maybe could get by with one less.

TEs …3 and again that sounds about right.

STs we have been using starters at other positions doing double duty. The reasoning is understandable, but now, fortunately, we got a couple studs at gunner and PR, maybe KR.

Carrying 10-11 OLs is cumbersome because then you have to carry less somewhere else. One less WR seems one avenue, and maybe getting another from STs is another. But somehow, we not only have to carry more OLs, they need to come from somewhere in 2nd rd , or at least early 3rd.

Or as Laken, in a good trade (for us, not for Detroit). This not drafting OGs until later as we initially did, just isn't good enough. So we need not only more OLs, we need better, and especially at the OG position. We haven't been strong at OG since ….well since JL and Kyle arrived.

We took a good swing at it last yr in Banks and Moore. Unfortunately, we need to do the same thing again this yr, but this time both OGs, w/ one being an OG/C. At OTs , Brun is a better OT than OG. McK proved himself at LT subbing for Trent. Jaylon Moore can play OT as can McG if he is healthy by season start. Banks who has barely played yet at LG and hopefully Jay Moore at RG.

Our weakness is right there…both OGs…and maybe it works and we are fine. But going into season not knowing if either or both OGs will work…is exactly why it looks like a couple OGs, hopefully good ones, (one an OG/C if available) need to be taken this draft. #61 and #93 wouldn't be bad places to try and get them, either. My hope is we could burn some of our later picks and move up a tad in rd 3 or 4 , perhaps rd 5, and get our OGs, plus potential CB and S that has potential starter talent….or is better than what we currently have.

Kyle's scheme is very explosive, but it uses up a lot of OLinemen. My preference for depth is depth at the Tackle position. If you have good depth at tackle, you satisfy the left tackle issue if Trent goes down. The Starting Right Tackle can also move to the Left Tackle position, if he's a legitimate starter. Same with Center, if Mack goes, then one of the Starting Guards can shift to center as a backup to Mack. Now the depth player (trained at tackle) can be plugged in at Guard respectively. Personally, I think the Guard position is really dependent on the Tackles in pass protections because the best speed rushers are usually put on either OT's, and it's the stunts and dogs where the Guard and the Tackle have to switch when the new guy is being plugged in and doesn't have those reps with the starting tackles. All the guards have to do is be is able to clog the pass rush lanes to protect the QB, if the team has a good pair of Tackles.

Having said all that, you have very limited draft capital, and one of the things that ShanaLynch have done very well is getting those day three gems. Those day three gems save cap space because they don't have to spend a big chunk of cap space (for example) on a free agent RB when you have Mitchell. That cap space can be used for a young and promising up coming OLineman that will be paid above average because he has above average (but not elite) talent, that hopefully, can be developed to be an elite player.

Ultimately, the bottom line is good player evaluation, and if you don't have good player evaluation, you have to depend a lot on free agency and trades to restock your team that has been pillaged by bottom feeding teams robbing your young talented depth (Laken, Arden Key, DJ Jones, Mostert - for example).
  • Giedi
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Originally posted by NCommand:
^ Great takes in here fellas!

Originally posted by Giedi:
Kyle's scheme is very explosive, but it uses up a lot of OLinemen. My preference for depth is depth at the Tackle position. If you have good depth at tackle, you satisfy the left tackle issue if Trent goes down. The Starting Right Tackle can also move to the Left Tackle position, if he's a legitimate starter. Same with Center, if Mack goes, then one of the Starting Guards can shift to center as a backup to Mack. Now the depth player (trained at tackle) can be plugged in at Guard respectively. Personally, I think the Guard position is really dependent on the Tackles in pass protections because the best speed rushers are usually put on either OT's, and it's the stunts and dogs where the Guard and the Tackle have to switch when the new guy is being plugged in and doesn't have those reps with the starting tackles. All the guards have to do is be is able to clog the pass rush lanes to protect the QB, if the team has a good pair of Tackles.

Having said all that, you have very limited draft capital, and one of the things that ShanaLynch have done very well is getting those day three gems. Those day three gems save cap space because they don't have to spend a big chunk of cap space (for example) on a free agent RB when you have Mitchell. That cap space can be used for a young and promising up coming OLineman that will be paid above average because he has above average (but not elite) talent, that hopefully, can be developed to be an elite player.

Ultimately, the bottom line is good player evaluation, and if you don't have good player evaluation, you have to depend a lot on free agency and trades to restock your team that has been pillaged by bottom feeding teams robbing your young talented depth (Laken, Arden Key, DJ Jones, Mostert - for example).

Your last point,, altho self evident, is truly an excellent one, Giedi. We all know that we lose great talent to other teams when draft picks at the bottom of the list end up being excellent players who end up starters, but were chosen from a group of players we didn't expect to become that talented. And, therefore, at end of 3 or 4 yr contract, they earn themselves into the upper echelon of pay amongst players.

I don't recall anyone making this point before and it works out for us like kind of planned obsolesence….ie , we thot they were lower tier, and then they breakout and become upper tier, giving us 2, maybe 3 yrs of top flite play, but then move on when contract expires, because they have proven themselves to be well above where they were drafted.

In a way, we get penalized for making great choices in lower rds, and then after 2-3 yrs have to do it all over again…or add yet another top dollar player to the elite payroll. The only answer here is to continue to draft several , maybe 2, 3 or 4 guys each draft who are terrific talents but just haven't shown it yet.

Nobody aside from you has made a point of that to my knowledge but it is sitting right there for all to see. And it is here, as you mention above, that Kyle and JL have had to not depend solely on past college performance, but where is the Mostert-MItchell-DJJones "football heart" in these lower rd draftees?
It doesn't show up on film and hence film junkies like kyle can't see the unseen desire , (perhaps), in these lower rd picks.

A final plaudit for your "workout warrior" comment. I've read it before, but after thinking back to Jerry and Roger, it is true. When those guys worked out yr round, (and ruggedly so), the team as a whole always seemed to :"miraculously" be healthy. If THAT is what it takes to keep a team from ending up "Most injured" every yr, then we not only should look for players like that in FA/trade/draft, KS and JL should be encouraging the team as a whole to become of that mindset.
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