Originally posted by jonnydel:
Originally posted by KittleSkittle:
Originally posted by Hysterikal:
Originally posted by ninerfan4life:
3 sacks for Bosa on Sunday. Book it
Would cause so many tears of joy
Meh, the Bucs tackles aren't very good. There is no excuse for either Ford or Bosa to not get at least a pressure every passing down as long as they get a 1-on-1 matchup with either tackle. That said, 3 sacks would be very impressive.
Yeeeeeah. I don't think these guys getting pressure every single down is realistic. The Bears were crazy good last year and they had a sack/int/fumble forced on 1 out of 8 passing attempts last year, and that was crazy high.
Football insiders did a very comprehensive study on pressures where they went through a complex algorithm of adjusting pressures vs coverage sacks and times the QB fell down or caused a sack or pressure himself. These were qualitative pressures and they did this after the 2017 season.
In 2017 the team with the highest pressure rate was Jacksonville at 38.4%. That's actually the highest rate between 2006-2017. So, even if they got a pressure on 2 out of 5 passing downs they still would be ranking the best of the last 13 years.
What is the single game record for pressure rate? 30+% pressure rate for the season should be the expectation for our line considering the resources we've invested into it, but we're going up against a terrible line this game, so I expect us to beat that 38.4% rate this week.
I'll concede that 100% pressure rate is unreasonable considering the variables involved, but if Bosa or Ford get a 1-on-1 rush against either of these tackles on an obvious passing down, I expect them to win the majority of the time, if not every time. That won't always translate into a pressure or a sack, but it will result in a good PFF grade which is what ultimately matters.
[ Edited by KittleSkittle on Sep 6, 2019 at 12:18 PM ]