PYMWYMI 2019 - UPDATE 9/4

10-6

@ Tampa Bay W
@ Cincy W
Steelers L
Browns L
@ LA Rams L
@ Washington W
Panthers W
@ Arizona W
Seahawks W
Cardinals W
Packers W
@ Baltimore L
@ New Orleans L
Falcons W
Rams W
@ Seattle L

5-6 wins with bad luck
9-10 wins with no luck
11-12 wins with good luck

Originally posted by 9moon:
I refuse to post the whole schedule and pick which games our beloved 49ers may end up not winning.

So, I'm predicting..

11 & 5

Good point, and I like your record prediction.

I'll say this as well as I've been saying every year on the Zone (and off it):

EVERY year, for EVERY team, they will beat someone you wouldn't have expected them to win and lose to someone you wouldn't have expected them to.

Just how it is, every year without fail.

Let's play the 49er Win/Lose game (**** for the shockers):

2011 - Steelers / Cardinals
2012 - Patriots / Vikings ***
2013 - Packers / Colts ***
2014 - Saints / Bears ***
2015 - Falcons / Rams
2016 - Rams / Jets (LOL Rams by default, but c'mon.....a 2 win 49er team beat the Rams when the Seahawks could only win one after bc Fisher got fired)
2017 - Jaguars ***/ Cardinals
2018 - Seahawks*** / Cardinals ***

If I had to guess for 2019:

49ers defeat at least one of Packers/Saints/Steelers (would include Rams but divisional)
49ers lose to at least one of Bucs/Bengals/Redskins (would include Cards but divisional)

I guarantee most of you are picking on averages and not on wacky variables. For the list above, nothing was more unexpected than losing to the Vikings (and I was there)......after two solid wins against the Packers and Lions, even visiting the Metrodome wasn't supposed to be a problem. Vikings fans that week questioned whether their offense would cross the 50 yard line......and boy did they ever....LOL.

I picked up a football almanac from Football Outsiders recently and they say what makes a dominant team dominant is the high percentage that they will convincingly defeat weaker teams, much less so them beating the good teams. And even with that, the dominant teams still almost always lose to a scrub team.

Another thing, the 49ers have only started 2-0 once this decade (2012).......

2010 : 0-2 (away, home)
2011: 1-1
2012: 2-0
2013: 1-1
2014: 1-1
2015: 1-1
2016: 1-1
2017: 0-2
2018: 1-1

The 49ers have won every single home opener this decade except the two seasons they started 0-2 and last year. So if they start 1-0, very good chance they go 1-1, maybe luck out and go 2-0. Start 0-1 and lose the second game 67% of the time (but win it 100% of the time with Garoppolo).

Based on 49er performance this decade, the 49ers should beat the Bucs and lose to the Bengals with a 67% possibility.

Based on Shanahan's track record, they lose to the Bucs and beat the Bengals with a 50% rate, the other 50% they lose both. Jimmy G improves the odds based on last year.

It's fascinating to study just TWO games. Opponents almost don't matter........only the SB 49ers of 2012 won the first two games.

Now I'm hoping that this is a brand new era that will have no bearing on the past and SF heads for the home opener against the Steelers at 2-0.

But based on this decade's track record, only 11% chance that happens.......

However, this is the year the other 89% comes into play!

Originally posted by JTsBiggestFan:
Another thing, the 49ers have only started 2-0 once this decade (2012).......

2010 : 0-2 (away, home)
2011: 1-1
2012: 2-0
2013: 1-1
2014: 1-1
2015: 1-1
2016: 1-1
2017: 0-2
2018: 1-1

The 49ers have won every single home opener this decade except the two seasons they started 0-2 and last year. So if they start 1-0, very good chance they go 1-1, maybe luck out and go 2-0. Start 0-1 and lose the second game 67% of the time (but win it 100% of the time with Garoppolo).

Based on 49er performance this decade, the 49ers should beat the Bucs and lose to the Bengals with a 67% possibility.

Based on Shanahan's track record, they lose to the Bucs and beat the Bengals with a 50% rate, the other 50% they lose both. Jimmy G improves the odds based on last year.

It's fascinating to study just TWO games. Opponents almost don't matter........only the SB 49ers of 2012 won the first two games.

Now I'm hoping that this is a brand new era that will have no bearing on the past and SF heads for the home opener against the Steelers at 2-0.

But based on this decade's track record, only 11% chance that happens.......

However, this is the year the other 89% comes into play!

WHAT?

6-10

But also 10,000 excuses and "keep the faith" posts.

The team is entirely unproven at all levels.

@ Tampa Bay - W
@ Cincinatti- W
Pittsburgh - W
Cleveland - W
@ LA Rams - W
@ Washington - W
Carolina - W
@ Arizona - W
Seattle - W
Arizona - W
Green Bay - W
@ Baltimore - L
@ New Orleans - L
Atlanta - W
LA Rams - W
@ Seattle - L

13-3
NFC West Champions

The Rams take a step back this year, will be lucky to get a wild card.

11-5. With No major injury issues and especially Jimmy G stays healthy.

We get in via wildcard because the Lambs go 12-4.

Have a good feeling about things turning around this year. Anything can happen in the playoffs.

Go Niners!

I think we'll be battling with SEA for one of the Wild Cards.

I have a lot of faith in the team, but the schedule is brutal. Not just the teams but the venue's and order are an issue. I have 100% confidence we'd beat the Bucs & Bengals at home and even away later in the season, but first up is tough.

Taking it all into account I'll go 9-7

9-7

10-6. On their way in new golden era.

8-8

Originally posted by mayo49:

I think we'll be battling with SEA for one of the Wild Cards.

Sea purged their roster last year and they really overachieved imo. They purged some more this year too. I think they take a big step back and win 7-8 games personally.

5-11

Originally posted by SadowskyMS4:

5-11

Why you sad bro?