Originally posted by Luckycharms:
Originally posted by NCommand:
Originally posted by NinerBuff:
Originally posted by ninerfan4life:
Imagine if both the Seahawks and Saints lose in the morning. This game would become even bigger than it already is
Seattle at Philly seems feasible, but Carolina at New Orleans... not so much. But if that were to happen, then awesome!
It might be worse if they both win.
If Seattle and saints win and we lose we go from the #1 seed to the #5 seed which is crazy. Gonna be a brutal fight to hang on to this first round bye
Right. If all three games go against us, it would be bad. According to NFL's game prediction models:
49ers have a 52% chance of winning
Seahawks have a 55% chance of winning
Saints have a 74% chance of winning
So if we take these projections and map them to each possible outcome:
49ers win, Seahawks win, Saints win: 21.2% - 49ers remain 1st in NFC (1 game up)
49ers win, Seahawks win, Saints lose: 7.4% - 49ers remain 1st in NFC (1 game up, but both GB and NO lost, so now most important game is @ SEA)
49ers win, Seahawks lose, Saints win: 17.3% - 49ers remain 1st in NFC (strengthen NFCW bid)
49ers win, Seahawks lose, Saints lose: 6.1% - 49ers remain 1st in NFC (2+ game lead on all challengers)
49ers lose, Seahawks win, Saints win: 19.5% - 49ers drop to 5th in NFC (lost tiebreaker vs. Seattle and GB, behind NO)
49ers lose, Seahawks win, Saints lose: 6.9% - 49ers drop to 5th in NFC (lost tiebreaker vs. Seattle and GB)
49ers lose, Seahawks lose, Saints win: 16.0% - 49ers drop to 3rd in NFC (lost tiebreaker with GB, behind NO)
49ers lose, Seahawks lose, Saints lose: 5.6% - 49ers drop to 2nd in NFC (lost tiebreaker with GB)