Super Bowl preview: stats, matchups, and breakdowns

Originally posted by thl408:

Chief CBs like to align in press. Chart compares frequency of press alignment to the rest of the league.

The Chiefs & 49ers defenses use drastically different cornerback alignment strategies (by pre-snap cushion).

➔ Chiefs Defense: Highest press coverage rate (38%)

➔ 49ers Defense: 3rd-Lowest press coverage rate (16%)#SBLIV pic.twitter.com/lydT4RCaJh

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 31, 2020

When the 49er WRs face press, Sanders is more often the target of a pass.

How will the Chiefs press-heavy strategy affect target share for 49ers receivers Emmanuel Sanders & Deebo Samuel?

Sanders is targeted almost 7 percentage points more often against press (< 3 yds), while Samuel is targeted more often against off-coverage (5+).#SBLIV | #GoNiners pic.twitter.com/TwoEkkvwSi

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 31, 2020

Could KC come with a gameplan of heavy Cover 1 (8 in the box), press the WRs, double Sanders and Kittle?

That would be interesting. Doing that would leave opportunity for Deebo and KB.

Originally posted by thl408:

^^ That chart will make your head spin imo. People should read the article to understand that

Simple pictures always better.

Watched a thing from that big numbers crunching guru guy.

Chiefs are worst in the league in defending run plays with pre-snap motion, 49ers run the ball with pre-snap motion most in the league and have the highest success rate doing it.

Chiefs allow the highest success rate on play action passes, 49ers have the highest success rate of play action passes.

Chiefs run cover 3 about 50% if the time on 1st down.

Jimmy garoppolo is 1st in success rates 2and in YPA, 1st in comp % and has a 9-2 TD-INT ratio against C3 on 1st down.
He said he was the #2 QB in the league against C3 on 1st down.

One of the Chiefs liabilities is in the interior line at guard. I'm hoping DBuck dominates. With our wide end alignment this means Mahomes flushing hopefully right into Bosa or Ford.