Originally posted by elguapo:
Originally posted by 49ersRing:
I don't believe we have a realistic chance to win a Super Bowl with Jimmy this season. The circumstances that helped us get to the Super Bowl in 2019 aren't likely to happen again. Jimmy would have to massively improve for this team to be able to overcome the other top teams in the NFC and nothing we've seen so far has given any reason to believe that's the case.
If there isn't a realistic chance of winning the Super Bowl with Jimmy this year, then what is the point of rolling with him? Boosting his trade value? It seems unlikely we're going to get a team to trade us anything significant for him, especially if he gets injured.
I guess you must've missed the memo that we are pretty healthy, Ford is back with Bosa, our defense is going to be great.
I also guess you missed the fact that we have probably the easiest or at least top five easiest schedules in the league.
So you are wrong. If you remember 2019, we had a ton of injuries and still had some thru the playoffs. I don't know what you mean by the circumstances that helped us get to the Super Bowl because we did not have many good ones. We still did not have our Center Richburg and DJ Jones which easily helped us lose that game. So the circumstances in 2019 are not hard to duplicate especially since we have a better offense and it could be argued that our defense is just as good if not better. Plus like I mentioned the last my schedule. So you might want to think about what you said, maybe go back to the drawing board and think of another excuse as to why we are not a serious SB contender WITH Jimmy G. Then again, just look at the Vegas odds, countless analysts and so on. You're alone in this one
Here's a list of things that fell in our favor in 2019:
1. Relatively easy schedule, especially at the start. This one may also be true this year.
2. We mostly avoided long term injuries. Yes, we had our fair share, but most of the team was back on the field by the time the playoffs rolled around. Yes, we did lose Richburg and an important rotational piece in DJ Jones, but no team remains 100% healthy. Jimmy also stayed healthy, something he has not done in the other three seasons where he started the season as the #1 QB in his career.
It's unknown how things will play out this year on the injury front. We're relatively healthy right now, but it's only August.
3. We won a lot of close games. We were literally an inch away from losing the division to the Seahawks. We also had wins that came down to 1-2 plays against the Cardinals, Saints, Rams, and Steelers. True, we also had some close losses, but not as many.
4. We benefited heavily from a relatively weak NFC. The Packers were not as good as their record and Rodgers was not comfortable running Lafleur's offense at the time. Last year he was a lot better and there's no reason to think the Packers won't be better this year than they were in 2019. The Saints were the only other team in the NFC viewed as a realistic contender that year and they were pretty flawed. The Rams had a down year with a lot of injuries along the offensive line, but have since upgraded at QB and are likely going to be much better this year. There's also the Bucs with Tom Brady who arguably have the best roster in the NFC and undeniably a better QB than us.
5. The weak NFC lead to us having incredibly favorable playoff matchups. We faced teams with mostly immobile QBs that had defenses that could not stop the run. We only had to pass the ball about 10 times total in 6 quarters, which is good because we struggled when we did pass. That's extremely unlikely to happen again.
In general, making a Super Bowl takes a lot of luck, especially when you don't have a premier QB. We don't have a premier QB. Most would say we don't even have a top 15 QB. It's very hard to win a Super Bowl like that. Every team that is consistently contending every year has done so due to consistent high-level QB play.
All of that said, realistically the odds of us winning or even making the Super Bowl this year are low and don't differ much with either Trey or Jimmy as the QB. I'd rather not postpone the development of our franchise QB in favor of a very slight increase in our low odds of a championship. It's also not certain that Trey with a full season of starts under his belt won't be significantly better than Jimmy by the time the postseason arrives.