Originally posted by 49ersRing:
Originally posted by elguapo:
Originally posted by Memphis9er:
Once our defense started having injuries games got close. You're terrible with context, and your insane hate for the starting qb is clearly having a detrimental effect on your thinking.
Bingo. It's funny how some people love leaving s**t out to try to push their narrative.
How does bringing up injuries add anything? The fact is we still had more "coin-flip" (<60% win probability in the final minutes for either team) games in 2019 (10) than any other team. The fact is that winning those games is statistically proven to not be stable year to year. It's also true that teams that win a high number of them typically experience some regression towards the mean in the percentage of those games that they win in the following years. Winning a lot of games in the NFL is hard to do year after year, especially without a top 10 QB and it's even harder without a top 15 or top 20 QB.
There's also zero reason to assume we'll have less injuries this year than we had in 2019.
Did you look up how many close games the Seahawks won that year? Packers?
The fact that we were still playing for the division week 17 vs Seattle was an absolute stroke of luck for…SEATTLE.
DVOA was a major advantage for us, so were most analytics. Seattle got absolutely lucky as hell that they beat us earlier in the year and needed us to be completely devastated by injury to the point where we had a backup kicker out there…a backup kicker who missed a fairly straight forward would be winning kick in OT. Their awful pass rush all year long suddenly came alive against us that game which included Staley coming back from injury but injuring himself during that game.
We were rolling them before Sanders went out of the game.
Save the close game win BS. We had 5 wins with 1 score or less difference.
Steelers game where it wasn't even close if not for the 5 turnovers.
Arizona game where they got a fluke 88 yard TD with less than 5 minutes to play.
Saints game where we earned that win 100%.
Rams where Jimmy had 2 major clutch 3rd and long conversions to get us into winning FG range.
Seahawks which never should've come down to that tackle if the refs don't intervene.
Where's the luck you're implying?