SF 49ERS at Cowboys Pregame Thread - 2021 Season Wild Card game

F*ck the Raiders, f*ck the cowgirls, we winning! 🚀

Originally posted by DrEll:
Cynthia Frelund of NFL network predicts Packers vs Cowboys in the NFCC game based on her "statistical" analysis (in other words, she simulates Madden one hundred times and derives her data from that).

will be funny to hear her spin when the Niners knock out both

Since her whole deal is "analytics" i have always wondered what her hit ratio was on picks as opposed to other forecasters. I found a site called NFL Pickwatch that shows everyone's stats straight up and against the spread. Her straight up picks are probably in the upper third at 66% and her picks against the spread are 51% which seems to be about the average. Maurice Jones Drew who approaches his picks through his experience of having actually played the game has a 66.4% win rate at straight up picks and and 53.1% record against the spread which would suggest that "analytics" are not much more valuable than experience in determining a game's possible outcome. So this idea that analytics will somehow give people an edge in how they assess the game and the match ups within the game is probably more wishful thinking than anything else. All that prediction stuff is pretty much of a crap shoot anyway since I am a firm believer in the any given Sunday rule. You never know who is going to step up. It's one of the things that makes football so much more interesting than other sports

Originally posted by 49ers81:

Originally posted by DrEll:
Cynthia Frelund of NFL network predicts Packers vs Cowboys in the NFCC game based on her "statistical" analysis (in other words, she simulates Madden one hundred times and derives her data from that).

will be funny to hear her spin when the Niners knock out both

Since her whole deal is "analytics" i have always wondered what her hit ratio was on picks as opposed to other forecasters. I found a site called NFL Pickwatch that shows everyone's stats straight up and against the spread. Her straight up picks are probably in the upper third at 66% and her picks against the spread are 51% which seems to be about the average. Maurice Jones Drew who approaches his picks through his experience of having actually played the game has a 66.4% win rate at straight up picks and and 53.1% record against the spread which would suggest that "analytics" are not much more valuable than experience in determining a game's possible outcome. So this idea that analytics will somehow give people an edge in how they assess the game and the match ups within the game is probably more wishful thinking than anything else. All that prediction stuff is pretty much of a crap shoot anyway since I am a firm believer in the any given Sunday rule. You never know who is going to step up. It's one of the things that makes football so much more interesting than other sports

Ok

The Cowboys might not even try to run the ball. They got some weapons on the passing side to go straight at the Niners weakness the secondary.

The Dline must get ready to change up quick from a runstop mode to pass rush mode. I'm thinking how New Orleans did it in 2019.

Watched the highlights of the Dallas, New England game from earlier in the year. I thought it might be useful since New England seems to be a lot like the Niners in that they like to run the ball, play defense, and rely on the QB to execute the offense and get the ball into the hands of their play makers. A couple of things I found interesting were that Micah Parsons name hardly got mentioned at all and that CB they have with all the picks didn't have any in that game was getting burned deep fairly often. The guy who really stood out was Ceedee Lamb. That guy is really good and will pose a huge challenge for our CB's. I think he was my favorite of all of the receivers in that draft and was sorry that the team didn't take him at 13. It will be interesting to see if Aiyuk and Kinlaw together will be more impactful on the team going forward than Lamb will be on his own for Dallas. If the 49ers play well they can beat the Dallas team in this video but this was from week six so I don't know how much better Dallas may have gotten since then,

Originally posted by 49ers81:

Originally posted by DrEll:
Cynthia Frelund of NFL network predicts Packers vs Cowboys in the NFCC game based on her "statistical" analysis (in other words, she simulates Madden one hundred times and derives her data from that).

will be funny to hear her spin when the Niners knock out both

Since her whole deal is "analytics" i have always wondered what her hit ratio was on picks as opposed to other forecasters. I found a site called NFL Pickwatch that shows everyone's stats straight up and against the spread. Her straight up picks are probably in the upper third at 66% and her picks against the spread are 51% which seems to be about the average. Maurice Jones Drew who approaches his picks through his experience of having actually played the game has a 66.4% win rate at straight up picks and and 53.1% record against the spread which would suggest that "analytics" are not much more valuable than experience in determining a game's possible outcome. So this idea that analytics will somehow give people an edge in how they assess the game and the match ups within the game is probably more wishful thinking than anything else. All that prediction stuff is pretty much of a crap shoot anyway since I am a firm believer in the any given Sunday rule. You never know who is going to step up. It's one of the things that makes football so much more interesting than other sports

Absolutely agree. Stats only tell you what happened. *NOT* what is going to happen. Unfortunately that confuses a lot of folks for some reason.

Originally posted by 49ers81:
Watched the highlights of the Dallas, New England game from earlier in the year. I thought it might be useful since New England seems to be a lot like the Niners in that they like to run the ball, play defense, and rely on the QB to execute the offense and get the ball into the hands of their play makers. A couple of things I found interesting were that Micah Parsons name hardly got mentioned at all and that CB they have with all the picks didn't have any in that game was getting burned deep fairly often. The guy who really stood out was Ceedee Lamb. That guy is really good and will pose a huge challenge for our CB's. I think he was my favorite of all of the receivers in that draft and was sorry that the team didn't take him at 13. It will be interesting to see if Aiyuk and Kinlaw together will be more impactful on the team going forward than Lamb will be on his own for Dallas. If the 49ers play well they can beat the Dallas team in this video but this was from week six so I don't know how much better Dallas may have gotten since then,

Parsons looked the same even in later games. Really lazy when not rushing the passer. He does not like to change direction, most likely because it requires high effort.

I am not comfortable with the media love the Niners are getting. Everything I see is how the cowboys better watch out and the 49ers play bully ball. To much motivation for the cowboys. I much more prefer to be the underdog

Originally posted by Andra:
I am not comfortable with the media love the Niners are getting. Everything I see is how the cowboys better watch out and the 49ers play bully ball. To much motivation for the cowboys. I much more prefer to be the underdog

That was early in the week. Now they're all over Cowboy nuts.

Originally posted by NCommand:
110 pages already. Wow.

Big games vs. all-time rivals will do that!

All-Pro Deebo will expose All-Pro Diggs tomorrow..Book it!! Heard on NFL Network Diggs will shadow Deebo all over the place hahaha that's a bad matchup for the overrated Diggs.

Originally posted by YACBros85:

Originally posted by Andra:
I am not comfortable with the media love the Niners are getting. Everything I see is how the cowboys better watch out and the 49ers play bully ball. To much motivation for the cowboys. I much more prefer to be the underdog

That was early in the week. Now they're all over Cowboy nuts.

f**king media never giving the niners the respect they deserve. We gonna kick the cowboys ass

Originally posted by 808niner4lyphe:
All-Pro Deebo will expose All-Pro Diggs tomorrow..Book it!! Heard on NFL Network Diggs will shadow Deebo all over the place hahaha that's a bad matchup for the overrated Diggs.

they cant shadow Deebo how would that work when hes in the backfield?

Originally posted by ritz126:

Originally posted by 808niner4lyphe:
All-Pro Deebo will expose All-Pro Diggs tomorrow..Book it!! Heard on NFL Network Diggs will shadow Deebo all over the place hahaha that's a bad matchup for the overrated Diggs.

they cant shadow Deebo how would that work when hes in the backfield?

Lineup at LB like what Ramsey did a few times last week.

One more day. I hope the media hyping up Dallas doesn't sway the Refs into some bias calls. That scares me a lot. Go Niners!!!