Pregame Aikman talked about mistakes deciding these types of games. With that spirit let's break it down. What went wrong? Why did we lose? Here are the turning points imo:
Q1 3:28 - 4th and 10 Wishnowsky punts to the LA 3. We punted from the Ram 40. I've long been an advocate of going for it in plus (enemy) territory. A punt is a voluntary turnover, no different than JG lobbing a deep pick. It was a great punt and downed inside the 5, however, the Rams marched right down and scored a TD. They could have done that from the 40 (and it would have actually saved time on the game clock, perhaps giving us more time in the end).
End of 1st SF 0 LA 0
Q2 8:46 - 3rd and 13: 16 yard TD to Cooper Kupp. Aikman with a rare astute commentary. Cover 2 look with Ambry shallow zone and Tartt deep zone. Thomas doesn't get nearly the depth he should leaving Kupp essentially one on one with Tartt huge mismatch TD Rams. With depth Stafford would likely have to check down and odds are it doesn't go for 13 yards. Ryans dialed up the correct play just not executed.
Q2 1:50 - 1st and 10: 2 yard run with Deebo. Gay just missed a deep field goal setting us up at our own 44. We ran with Deebo for minimal gain and elected to run all the play clock. This drive would finish with us spiking on first down at the Ram 24 yard line. Running one play (JG scrambled with no one open). Then we kicked a field goal on third down. We ran out of time on this drive, and would not have if we didn't run all play clock after the first down Deebo run. In fact, without running all play clock to start the drive we likely don't need to waste a down clocking it.
End of 2nd SF 10 LA 7
Q3 1:59 1st and 10: 7 yard completion to Kupp and AAS called for taunting and 15 yards. It would have been 2nd and 3 from the 32. It became 1st and 10 from the 47. There was no visible taunt (unlike Tyreek Hill vs Buffalo which was clearly visible and not called last week).
End of 3rd SF 17 LA 7
Q4 11:23: Mitchell run for 1 yard loss on 2nd and 1. KS then dials up a 3rd and 2 up the gut with the FB run. He then punts on 4th and 2 at the Ram 45. Sometimes when a team is coached tight they start to play tight (see for example Marty Schottenheimer). To me we are coaching a little tight here. The following drive would start with the bomb off the shoulder pads to Tartt. Tartt should have asked Stafford for a better ball, as we all know it is uncatchable if it hits the shoulder pads.
End of 4th SF 17 LA 20
Final verdict an entire game of coaching tight. An option for a 4th down play at the opposing 40. This is no man's land. Too long for a field goal but too short to punt. Punting here set the tone for a tightly called game. We continued this by hedging our bets to end the first half. Rather than giving a drive to JG and attacking we ran clock. Almost as if KS was betting our offense would fail and he didn't want to leave Stafford any time. But our offense didn't fail and we marched down and ran out of time ourselves. The killer was the sequence in the 4th run stuff, run stuff, conservative punt (again KS coaching tight) then dropped INT. Each game we had a deep ball to OBJ which was picked vs the Rams. This was our time for another just didn't happen. Even with the conservative calls we had our chances to win but I did observe the team started to play tight down the stretch.
Going forward I'd like to see us being more aggressive. Going for more 4th downs. When you punt you are telling your offense that I think you guys will fail at this moment so I'm not going to put it in your hands. Let's bet on ourselves not against ourselves. KS I'm sure would love to have chances with our offense on the field on those 4th downs but now it is too late. If we fail there fine we go down swinging. As it stands we went down and didn't take all the swings we could have we punted some of those swings away.
[ Edited by 49erFaithful6 on Jan 31, 2022 at 10:37 AM ]