Originally posted by tankle104:
Originally posted by Giedi:
Agree with both. Awesomely great points. These dual threat QBs are so talented physically that it slows their passing development down in the ways you both mentioned above.
The key for Kyle is patience. Walsh kept Steve and didn't trade him despite looking like a crap QB for the longest time. Unfortunately the Cap is a barrier to doing that long term nowadays. Now it went both ways, Steve could have demanded a trade and/or could have been difficult with Walsh once he did develop into a decent QB, but he stayed with Walsh and didn't want to leave Walsh.
I don't know if it will be the same with Trey. In other words if I was Trey and my rookie contract is up, do I go for the money, or stay with Kyle and continue to get coached up? Again assuming Kyle keeps Trey for the entirety of Treys rookie contract.
The key to being able to giving a player a bunch of time are a few things.
1. You have a really good and consistent starter (montana/Favre/Rodgers). We don't even know if we have a healthy starter. Lol
2. what did you give up to get that player? We gave up a second and fourth for Young. Rodgers & Love we're mid-late first round selections. None of that really hurts a team or consumes a lot of their draft capitol.
we have some of that going on, but not exactly. It would be awesome to keep a player for years to develop with no concern, but that gets difficult. We will see how it shakes out. Lance may even be our starter this year and changes the whole convo, who the hell knows with the 49ers qb1 spot. Hahaha
*Ass-uming* Purdy is 100% - I think that gives Trey time to develop at least to the end of his rookie contract in 2024, and then ShanaLynch has that option year after that. Conceivably that will take Trey to 2025. So that's about three years from now if Kyle does not trade Trey. Steve Young took about 4 years under Walsh and then blossomed in his fifth year and really began to dominate in his 6th. I think you need at least a year by year of steady progress from Lance to keep him. If he gets injured again this year and doesn't show any improvement, (a repeat of 2022 season) I think they will figure out how to let him go/trade Lance. As a reference point Jalen Hurd, as physically talented as he was, was let go at about year 2. In context, Trey is now entering his 3rd year as a 49er.
Purdy's stats as a rookie was unreal. He broke or matched some rookie records that have been standing for decades. That is unreal. That is going to be tough for Trey to match - unless he shows dramatic improvement. I think if Trey does somewhat improve, they keep him because he's a cheap backup. But the only time Trey will be QB1 is if he *dramatically* improves, in my opinion. If Trey and Sam are equal in performance - Sam will get the QB3 because of Trey's longer contract. Sam's making about 5 million a year on his one year contract, and Trey is 6+ million a year, but has the longer contract.
I"m pulling for both Trey and Brock to make each other better due to the competition, but Trey has a ton of ground to cover, just to match 2022 Brock. He can do it, but he really has to show it in training camp and preseason, otherwise Brock has got a lock on QB1 if he's healthy. In other words, Trey doesn't have much time to get it done. I don't think Sam factors in this scenario unless Brock's rehab is bad.