Originally posted by random49er:
There was no context left out. Philly didn't win with a $51M/Yr QB. It ended up as $40M after bonuses. What could possibly have been left out?
The person youre replying to broke my post up into snippets as well. In fact, you replied to it. The difference is that he is pro-spending as you are, and I am pro-cautious.
And good job to him on doing so, though it never changes what I just said above and in the OP.
When the truth is stretched,... it shouldnt offend you when it's corrected.
Type-C got his typo correction on $6M.... I straightened out how Brock would in fact risk or forfeit his accrual season, et. al. No biggie, and nothing to do with snipping.
When people talk about contracts, they often talk about the reported topline numbers. Hurts' 255M/5yr contract extension is commonly referred to by its 51M AAV. Hurts had 4.304M/1yr remaining on his rookie deal that became part of his new total contract. Hurts' total contract is 259.304M/6yr, which has a total contract AAV of 43.217M. It's extremely rare this ever gets brought up. And as others have pointed out, these are averages over the contract years. When you factor in the spreading of bonus money across the contract and into void years, the cap hits shrink. People understand this. Nobody is disputing it.
Consider the Dak contract. How many people refer to it as a 60M AAV contract? Almost everyone. In reality, that AAV (extension AAV) reflects his 240M/4yr contract extension. His old contract had 29M/1yr remaining. That cash still exists in his new contract. Dak's total contract is 269M/5yr, which has total contract AAV of 53.8M. Have you ever heard of anyone mention Dak and 53.8M AAV? If so, who and how often?
Note - If you view Spotrac's cash-flow for Dak, it will say 274M. 5M was paid to Dak in 2024 before he signed his extension and is not part of the current contract.
Consider the Allen contract. How many people refer to it as a 55M AAV contract? Almost everyone. Is that 55M the extension AAV? No. The 55M AAV for Allen refers to the total contract AAV. Allen's contract had 129.6M in cash and 4 years remaining on it. His contract extension added 2 years and 200.4M. That's an extension AAV of 100.2M. But that number sounds really stupid when you apples-to-apples compare it to guys like Dak (60M), Love (55M), The Prince (55M), Burrow (55M), Tua (53.1M), Goff (53M), Herbert (52.5M), Lamar (52M), Hurts (51M), and Mahomes (45M). Advertising his total contract as a 330M/6yr, makes it seem like Allen's "55M AAV" is "stabilizing the market" or "taking a discount" when he's actually resetting the market. Apples-to-apples comparing total contract AAVs for the top active QB contracts: Allen (55M), Dak (53.8M), Lamar (52M), Goff (48.1M), Tua (47.1M), Love (46.2M), Watson (46M), Cousins (45M), Burrow (44.3M), The Prince (43.8M), Hurts (43.2M), Herbert (42.3M), Mahomes (39.8M), Kyler (38M).
Just for completeness, we can discuss Purdy (again). Let's say Purdy gets a contract you probably think would be devastatingly bad.
- 305M in new cash - 2nd behind Mahomes (450M), ahead of Burrow & The Prince (275M).
- 61M extension AAV - 2nd behind Allen (100.2M), ahead of Dak (60M).
- 310.4M in total cash - 3rd behind Mahomes (477.6M) and Allen (330M), ahead of Burrow (310M)
- 51.7M total AAV - 4th behind Allen (55M), Dak (53.8M), and Lamar (52M), ahead of Goff (48.1M).
- 81M Signing Bonus - 1st ahead of Dak (80M).
- 150M Guaranteed at Signing - 2nd behind Watson (230M), ahead of Allen (147M).
- 250.3M Total Guaranteed - 1st ahead of Allen (250M)
- 220.4M four-year cash flow - 1st ahead of Allen (220M), Dak (219M), Mahomes (218M), and Lamar (207M).
Minimize the salaries from 2025-28. 81M Signing Bonus. Option bonuses of 39M, 42M, and 50.8M. 100k workout bonus and 750k total in per-game roster bonuses. His cap hits in the first four years would be 17.4M, 26.1M, 34.5M, 44.8M. No cap hits above 50M. The salary cap continues to grow ~7% year-to-year. and will be around 350M in 2029. The league will has option of terminating the current media deal in 2029 and
recent reporting suggests the league will opt out. The current CBA goes through 2030. There will be new revenue sharing splits in the next CBA. The owners will push for the 18+2 schedule model (shorter preseason, 18 regular season games, 2 bye weeks). The cap will see another boom with those adjustments. The carousel of quarterback contracts are coming back around and Purdy on this contract is going to be a bargain when quarterbacks are getting 75M+ in a few years.
The Ravens are already talking about making Lamar the highest paid quarterback before next offseason.
edit - Just to drive home this AAV discussion, for Purdy to match Allen, the 49ers would need to give Purdy a 324.6M/5yr extension (64.92M extension AAV) to bring the total contract to 330M/6yr (55M total AAV). The entire discussion around AAVs is stupid and is made worse when people aren't even discussing the same AAV type (extension vs total).
[ Edited by Typecast on Apr 2, 2025 at 5:47 PM ]