Originally posted by SmokeyJoe:
Originally posted by genus49:
I did forget about Alex but also hard to act like he was at the level of either Daniels or Cousins. He was coming off his best season with KC but that was a loaded roster. He was pretty much back to his game manager mode at that point.
And even if you want to treat Alex like a legit QB it took KC finding Mahomes to move Alex. Do you want this front office to get into the QB carousel mode? You can get lucky and find a stud to feel much better about long term...or you could find yourself losing your job and another HC making that find.
I didn't argue he was on the level of Cousins or Daniels. I said they got worse at the position in fact. But Alex Smith was a decent starter, and losing Cousins really didn't mean anything to the teams who replaced him. That's the entirety of the point I'm making. Moving on from Cousins in my opinion can be argued as a smart move. Signing guys like* Tua and Dak to monster deals is not, on the other side.
Alex Smith for Andy Reid was a pretty great starter. If that was the Alex that turned out in Washington, sure. But that didn't happen. Alex was not good before the injury in Washington.
Of the 34 QBs that had 126 pass attempts (14 atts x 9 gms), 2018 Alex was 22nd in cmp% (27th in cmp% over expected), 23rd in pass yards, 31st in y/c, 29th in y/a, 21st in adj y/a, 25th in y/g, 26th in pass TDs, 5th in Ints, 22nd in QB Rating, 24th in QBR, 22nd in epa/play, 26th in win probability added per play, 21st in passing success rate. Besides Ints, those are huge drop-offs from both 2017 Alex and 2017 Kirk.
32 QB's with 224 Min Pass Attempts in 2017:
- 2017 Alex was 3rd in cmp% (3rd in cmp% over expected), 8th in pass yards, 9th in y/c, 2nd in y/a, 1st in adj y/a, 8th in y/g, 9th in pass TDs, 6th in pass TD%, 1st in Ints, 1st in Int%, 1st in QB Rating, 8th in QBR, 6th in epa/play, 6th in win probability added per play, 11th in pass success rate
- 2017 Kirk was 9th in cmp% (12th in cmp% over expected), 7th in pass yards, 11th in y/c, 9th in y/a, 11th in adj y/a, 10th in y/g, 8th in pass TDs, 24th in Ints, 12th in QB Rating, 17th in QBR, 16th in EPA/play, 10th in win probability added per play, 11th in pass success rate
He really benefited from his defense beating up on terrible opponents. They had the 10th easiest strength of schedule played through 10 weeks, facing only three teams that ended the season with winning records. Two of those team blew Washington out by double digits. They squeaked out a 3-pt win against the Cowboys. That defense gave up 15.7ppg against the bad teams with the offense putting up 21.3ppg.