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SF 49ERS vs Cowboys Pregame thread - 2022 Season Divisional Round

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Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by mattster03:
OK, now I have really gone down the rabbit hole for this bet... by betting on the moneyline, this guy is actually setting himself to break even or win big no matter what:

Scenario 1: Sells 1,000 mattresses at $2,000ea ($2,000,000 gross, lets say $700,000 profit to make numbers easy) Cowboys win game straight up, he gets paid out $2,700,000 winnings from his bet and pays everyone back, $2,000,000 has $700,000 leftover which were equal to his profits before. Net $0

Scenario 2: Sells 1,000 mattresses at $2,000 ea ($2,000,000 gross, lets say $700,000 profit to make numbers easy) Cowboys lose game, he gets $2,000,000 in sales but lost $2,000,000 from his bet, but still made a $700,000 profit on sales.

Scenario 3: Sells 1,000 mattresses at $2,000 ea ($2,000,000 gross, lets say $700,000 profit to make numbers easy), Cowboys lose by 3, he gets paid out $2,700,000 winnings from his bet ($700,000 in winnings) and sold $2,000,000 in mattresses profiting $700,000 meaning he makes $1,400,000 net.

Interesting... he's basically getting free advertising to move a bunch of mattresses with no risk or high reward.

Yeah it's a cool strat imo I gotta respect him.

Moves mattresses, gets a ton of publicity. Furthermore, in the local market he's a hero cuz he champions the local teams. Some companies have to pay to come up with an ad campaign this dude just places a bet and it's done lol.
Sales are down nation wide due to inflation.. i doubt people want to buy mattresses right now when it not a need

plus the 3rd option is actually number 2 as you said betting on the ML

If he wins the bet or moves a ton of mattresses really it doesn't matter.. every company has ad / marketing expense. We are talking about some mattress salesman in Texas. He already won. He got his name and brand out there. If he doesn't cash out he writes it off as a biz expense.
Bill Vinovich, that piece of s**t who f**ked SF in the KC super bowl, is refereeing.

Terrible draw and feels targeted for SF.
Originally posted by pd24:
He has it at you have to spend 3,000 on a mattress set and it is free if Cowboys win

Good to know... like a geek I am working on a spreadsheet right now lol
Originally posted by NinerPrideinNJ:
Bill Vinovich, that piece of s**t who f**ked SF in the KC super bowl, is refereeing.

Terrible draw and feels targeted for SF.

can't stop us from winning when we're up by 3 scores in the 4th
  • pd24
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 9,127
Originally posted by DonnieDarko:
Originally posted by NinerPrideinNJ:
Bill Vinovich, that piece of s**t who f**ked SF in the KC super bowl, is refereeing.

Terrible draw and feels targeted for SF.

can't stop us from winning when we're up by 3 scores in the 4th

Personal foul; unsportsmanlike conduct on #13 for the offense. Flashing the pew pew guns symbol. #13 is disqualified.
Originally posted by pd24:

Kiss of death for Dallas lol.
Originally posted by Patton:
Originally posted by pd24:

Kiss of death for Dallas lol.

Imagine the DAL fan that plunks down $3000 grand for a mattress and has to eat the whole bill cuz SF boots em from the postseason, again
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Imagine the DAL fan that plunks down $3000 grand for a mattress and has to eat the whole bill cuz SF boots em from the postseason, again

I don't imagine many Dallas fans can afford a $3k mattress
  • mayo49
  • Veteran
  • Posts: 64,653
Does anyone else think Skip will be in a deep depression, come Monday on his show, if the Cowpokes lose Sunday?
[ Edited by mayo49 on Jan 20, 2023 at 2:44 PM ]
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by 49AllTheTime:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Originally posted by mattster03:
OK, now I have really gone down the rabbit hole for this bet... by betting on the moneyline, this guy is actually setting himself to break even or win big no matter what:

Scenario 1: Sells 1,000 mattresses at $2,000ea ($2,000,000 gross, lets say $700,000 profit to make numbers easy) Cowboys win game straight up, he gets paid out $2,700,000 winnings from his bet and pays everyone back, $2,000,000 has $700,000 leftover which were equal to his profits before. Net $0

Scenario 2: Sells 1,000 mattresses at $2,000 ea ($2,000,000 gross, lets say $700,000 profit to make numbers easy) Cowboys lose game, he gets $2,000,000 in sales but lost $2,000,000 from his bet, but still made a $700,000 profit on sales.

Scenario 3: Sells 1,000 mattresses at $2,000 ea ($2,000,000 gross, lets say $700,000 profit to make numbers easy), Cowboys lose by 3, he gets paid out $2,700,000 winnings from his bet ($700,000 in winnings) and sold $2,000,000 in mattresses profiting $700,000 meaning he makes $1,400,000 net.

Interesting... he's basically getting free advertising to move a bunch of mattresses with no risk or high reward.

Yeah it's a cool strat imo I gotta respect him.

Moves mattresses, gets a ton of publicity. Furthermore, in the local market he's a hero cuz he champions the local teams. Some companies have to pay to come up with an ad campaign this dude just places a bet and it's done lol.
Sales are down nation wide due to inflation.. i doubt people want to buy mattresses right now when it not a need

plus the 3rd option is actually number 2 as you said betting on the ML

If he wins the bet or moves a ton of mattresses really it doesn't matter.. every company has ad / marketing expense. We are talking about some mattress salesman in Texas. He already won. He got his name and brand out there. If he doesn't cash out he writes it off as a biz expense.
I'm talking about actual sales.. he's just a big time gambler. probably gives a rats patoot about his mattress company
Originally posted by Patton:
Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Imagine the DAL fan that plunks down $3000 grand for a mattress and has to eat the whole bill cuz SF boots em from the postseason, again

I don't imagine many Dallas fans can afford a $3k mattress
They learned last year
Originally posted by NinerPrideinNJ:
Bill Vinovich, that piece of s**t who f**ked SF in the KC super bowl, is refereeing.

Terrible draw and feels targeted for SF.

This and Vegas not wanting us to win? Awesome.
  • thl408
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 33,077
Originally posted by NYniner85:

their center isn't close to healthy either. He gave up like 7 or 8 pressures last week.

Why is Tyron Smith a Right Tackle now? Wasn't he a perennial AP/Pro Bowler at LT?
  • thl408
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 33,077
Originally posted by thl408:
Originally posted by NYniner85:

their center isn't close to healthy either. He gave up like 7 or 8 pressures last week.

Why is Tyron Smith a Right Tackle now? Wasn't he a perennial AP/Pro Bowler at LT?

Ok I looked it up. It's because they don't want to jerk their rookie around and change his position (Tyler Smith). Tyler's been on the left side this season and they want to keep Tyler there. So it's Tyron that will be at a new position (right tackle). The similar names can be confusing.
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