Stats and Strats: Matchup preview vs PHI 2022 Season NFCCG | Page 3

Jan 25, 2023 at 10:47 AM

SanDiego49er
Veteran
Posts: 50,132

Originally posted by thl408:

Originally posted by SanDiego49er:

Originally posted by libertyforever:

Originally posted by SanDiego49er:

Originally posted by Niners99:

Originally posted by Patton:
Philly has given up over 100 yards rushing their last 6 games. This bodes well for the Niners.

Thats the weak spot to attack IMO.

That's what we should be doing. Get 200 yards and take the pressure off Purdy. Run outside if you have to and sweeps and things if that 5 man interior line is too tough.

IMO run the ball. We still need to have enough success passing the ball, which we will attack their LBs in the middle of the field.

That sounds like a good plan.

I was a bit surprised at how the 49ers were not able to utilize CMC and Deebo in the short passing game versus DAL. I thought the 49ers had a big advantage there and would feast - they were okay, and I have to credit DAL for that. Perhaps spread the field via formation a bit versus PHI so it's not so congested and get more isolation CMC/Kittle vs LBs.

They might be able to have a little more success with that against Philly. Dallas is very fast. The Eagles are good. But not as fast.

Jan 25, 2023 at 3:28 PM

#32

thl408
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Posts: 33,071

If it's accurate, then playing Cover3 will allow the 49ers to play the run while also a coverage that Hurts doesn't do well against.

QB efficient vs each coverage through Divisional weekend. Jalen Hurts being pretty bad vs cover 3 and facing the 49ers (play cover 3 on 35% of plays, 7th highest rate) is something worth looking out for on Sunday. pic.twitter.com/xfoQINYiY4
— Arjun Menon (@arjunmenon100) January 25, 2023

Jan 25, 2023 at 5:21 PM

#33

YACBros85
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Posts: 9,899

I caught that Jackson Kreuger manipulating PPD numbers to fit his bias that the eagles are going to win. I called him out on it. I wonder if he will respond.

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:14 AM

#34

thl408
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Posts: 33,071

Eagles have 70 sacks this season

Upon further examination 23 of those came in 3 games

47 sacks in 14 games is still very impressive but not nearly as impressive as that 70 number.
— Jessie🎙 (@JNay_LSS) January 26, 2023

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:25 AM

#35

thl408
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Posts: 33,071

^^ I looked it up and these were the standout games where the PHI pass rush feasted on sacks:

Carson Wentz 9 sacks
Kenny Pickett 6 sacks
Ryan Tannyhill 6 sacks
DJones/Tyrod Taylor 7 sacks combined
Justin Fields 6 sacks
Dak Prescott 6 sacks
Saints 7 sacks (Dalton 6/Taysom 1)

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:27 AM

#36

thl408
Moderator
Posts: 33,071

Originally posted by YACBros85:
I caught that Jackson Kreuger manipulating PPD numbers to fit his bias that the eagles are going to win. I called him out on it. I wonder if he will respond.

What's PPD and who is Jackson Krueger
Oh he's a youtube content creator. What's PPD? Pass Pro Deficit? Passes per Pass Defensed?

[ Edited by thl408 on Jan 26, 2023 at 9:29 AM ]

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:30 AM

#37

a49erfan77
Veteran
Posts: 5,085

Originally posted by thl408:
^^ I looked it up and these were the standout games where the PHI pass rush feasted on sacks:

Carson Wentz 9 sacks
Kenny Pickett 6 sacks
Ryan Tannyhill 6 sacks
DJones/Tyrod Taylor 7 sacks combined
Justin Fields 6 sacks
Dak Prescott 6 sacks
Saints 7 sacks (Dalton 6/Taysom 1)

Worst QBs as far as sack %:
Fields #1
Tannehill #4
Wentz #7
Jones #8
Pickett #17
Dalton #19

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:33 AM

#38

YACBros85
Veteran
Posts: 9,899

Originally posted by thl408:
^^ I looked it up and these were the standout games where the PHI pass rush feasted on sacks:

Carson Wentz 9 sacks
Kenny Pickett 6 sacks
Ryan Tannyhill 6 sacks
DJones/Tyrod Taylor 7 sacks combined
Justin Fields 6 sacks
Dak Prescott 6 sacks
Saints 7 sacks (Dalton 6/Taysom 1)

Pass blocking rankings according to PFF.

WSH- 26th
PIT- 15th
TEN- 32nd
NYG- 24th
CHI- 16th
DAL- 14th
NO- 26th

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:34 AM

#39

thl408
Moderator
Posts: 33,071

Originally posted by YACBros85:

Originally posted by thl408:
^^ I looked it up and these were the standout games where the PHI pass rush feasted on sacks:

Carson Wentz 9 sacks
Kenny Pickett 6 sacks
Ryan Tannyhill 6 sacks
DJones/Tyrod Taylor 7 sacks combined
Justin Fields 6 sacks
Dak Prescott 6 sacks
Saints 7 sacks (Dalton 6/Taysom 1)

Pass blocking rankings according to PFF.

WSH- 26th
PIT- 15th
TEN- 32nd
NYG- 24th
CHI- 16th
DAL- 14th
NO- 26th

Maybe they have bad rankings because they played PHI?

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:35 AM

#40

YACBros85
Veteran
Posts: 9,899

Originally posted by thl408:

Originally posted by YACBros85:
I caught that Jackson Kreuger manipulating PPD numbers to fit his bias that the eagles are going to win. I called him out on it. I wonder if he will respond.

What's PPD and who is Jackson Krueger
Oh he's a youtube content creator. What's PPD? Pass Pro Deficit? Passes per Pass Defensed?

Points per drive

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:36 AM

#41

YACBros85
Veteran
Posts: 9,899

Originally posted by thl408:

Originally posted by YACBros85:

Originally posted by thl408:
^^ I looked it up and these were the standout games where the PHI pass rush feasted on sacks:

Carson Wentz 9 sacks
Kenny Pickett 6 sacks
Ryan Tannyhill 6 sacks
DJones/Tyrod Taylor 7 sacks combined
Justin Fields 6 sacks
Dak Prescott 6 sacks
Saints 7 sacks (Dalton 6/Taysom 1)

Pass blocking rankings according to PFF.

WSH- 26th
PIT- 15th
TEN- 32nd
NYG- 24th
CHI- 16th
DAL- 14th
NO- 26th

Maybe they have bad rankings because they played PHI?

One game isn't going to drop TEN all the way down to 32nd.

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:41 AM

#42

Disp
Veteran
Posts: 6,401

Originally posted by thl408:
^^ I looked it up and these were the standout games where the PHI pass rush feasted on sacks:

Carson Wentz 9 sacks
Kenny Pickett 6 sacks
Ryan Tannyhill 6 sacks
DJones/Tyrod Taylor 7 sacks combined
Justin Fields 6 sacks
Dak Prescott 6 sacks
Saints 7 sacks (Dalton 6/Taysom 1)

Good stuff guys. Diving more into the numbers it looks like their pass rush is fairly similar to ours and probably slightly better, but there's not a big divide:

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2022/opp.htm#all_advanced_defense

Pressure rate:
Dallas 25.6%
Philly 25.5%
49ers 22.9%

Hurry %:

Dallas: 8.5%
Philly: 7.3%
49ers: 5.9%

QB Hits:
Dallas: 110
Philly: 124
49ers: 121

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:48 AM

#43

All22
Veteran
Posts: 2,625

Originally posted by YACBros85:

Kyle's gonna run all day. Wouldn't be surprise to see some Jordan Mason action too.

Run, throw it short, make them tackle.

[ Edited by All22 on Jan 26, 2023 at 9:49 AM ]

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:52 AM

#44

YACBros85
Veteran
Posts: 9,899

Originally posted by All22:

Originally posted by YACBros85:

Kyle's gonna run all day. Wouldn't be surprise to see some Jordan Mason action too.

Run, throw it short, make them tackle.

Exactly what I was thinking. Don't let those pass rushers of PHI have a chance to tee off on our o line. Let our o line take the fight to them and let our YAC Bros feast.

Jan 26, 2023 at 9:53 AM

#45

thl408
Moderator
Posts: 33,071

Originally posted by YACBros85:

Originally posted by thl408:

Originally posted by YACBros85:

Originally posted by thl408:
^^ I looked it up and these were the standout games where the PHI pass rush feasted on sacks:

Carson Wentz 9 sacks
Kenny Pickett 6 sacks
Ryan Tannyhill 6 sacks
DJones/Tyrod Taylor 7 sacks combined
Justin Fields 6 sacks
Dak Prescott 6 sacks
Saints 7 sacks (Dalton 6/Taysom 1)

Pass blocking rankings according to PFF.

WSH- 26th
PIT- 15th
TEN- 32nd
NYG- 24th
CHI- 16th
DAL- 14th
NO- 26th

Maybe they have bad rankings because they played PHI?

One game isn't going to drop TEN all the way down to 32nd.

Yeah.
It's kind of like how ARI and SEA are two of the teams that give up the most YAC, but maybe that's because they play the 49ers twice.