Originally posted by SLCNiner:
Originally posted by pasodoc9er:
Now that the excitement, shouting, cheering, the drama, the tenseness, are over, I feel like I sat down to dinner and went away hungry. Not having any picks in rds 1 or 2 and then having 3 comp picks at end of rd 3…just left me flat. Kyle and JL were still relative newcomers to that draft, with only a few behind them. No question they took a talentless team and built it into one that is stacked with 2 NFC appearances, and 1 SB appearance. And they did it in lightning quick time. But they mortgaged the future for a small college QB wtih 1 yr of college ball and 1 yr of no football due to the covid disaster.
Yet in going back over the past week's happenings, somehow i feel we got cheated. By the time we picked, the cupboard was getting bare. It is also true that we really needed a starter OT, plus a starter swing OT, maybe a couple DBs, and perhaps a starter TE. In truth we didn't need much.
But the one glaring weakness, and it is a dilly, is QB. Yes we have a great one in Brock…but he is rehabbing an UCL and nobody knows what he will be left with talentwise, this yr…or next either. This was Trey's yr to shine but we all know what happened there…1 game in he torches his ankle and needs surgery…out for yr. Now going into this season we still have no idea what Trey brings to the table, and we got got the ??? With Brock. So yes, QB is a major league potential problem for us. And no, we aren't going anywhere in playoffs with Darnold at QB.
So, should we ever trade out two firsts , a 2nd and 3rd for a top 3 pick again? Maybe perhaps, but not for an unknown talent with little background data. But what if the pick had been Brock? Nope, different deal, in that in Brock we had tons of data at a Big 12 school with 4 yrs of football data, and he started all those games for 4 yrs. That huge stretch for a 1 yr QB who had not played the following yr was a major league stretch based on insufficient data, and we greatly overpaid for it. This is no knock on Trey, but is a knock on John and kyle. We learned a lesson 2 yrs ago…i hope we don't ever have to relearn it again.
Sure it sucks missing out on day one of the draft, but what exactly did we miss out on? Drafting another Javon Kinlaw, getting all hyped and excited about it for the entire off-season, only to be tremendously let down. We have a head coach, and GM, who are not afraid to swing for the fences, and I can't even remember the last time we had a front office who could get us this excited. John Lynch has been aggressive as hell in both free agency on the draft, and I love it. You cannot hit on all draft picks, but especially when we were in the situation we were, it was necessary to take a chance.
The biggest deal is that we still don't even know whether or not it was a good trade. If Trey realizes the potential he was drafted for, it was a home run. If not, it was just another moss on the draft.
This post kinda gets to a point i felt, but didn't make…and that is how apathetic I , as well as a whole bunch of other 9er fans were about this draft. No, we didn't lose any diehard fans because we had no real good 1st and 2nd day picks in draft but i bet we have a number of fans who were all geared up for a draft that for us, seems like it didn't happen. Yes i would have liked to have had a first and second and third to have been able to trade up for one of the handful of starter OTs out there. With 3 comp picks at end of 3rd rd, that wasn't a possibility, which is a shame.
Hey , like everyone else I am hoping, praying, we snagged a potential starter OT in either draft or UDFA, and JL always seems to bring some good talent into camp after UDFA. But the missing thing in this draft was our absence until those 3 comp picks. We may very well have snagged a helluva Kicker, but that remains to be seen. Much as I liked GOOD as GOULD, $5mil is steep, plus he does have some tread wear on his tires.
I guess, draft is a lot more to being a diehard fan than i realized. It brings hope, excitement , increased desire for the current season to start. It makes all of us hope that guy we moved up for turns out to be the real deal at #28, and gets our attention when his name comes up. There is renewal of hope, yr after yr, most of it generated by those hot new picks in the draft, even if it is only one. And yes, i was bonkers for Reuben , saw him destroy Gruden's chalkboard interview on TV. Hell, he was the "next coming". Great smile, hit like a truck, everything was roses. Right up until it wasn't, When that day came, i got viscerally ill. Never forget it. So, not having a first , 2nd or 3rd except for comps….isn't necessarily nirvana. There can be two edges to any sword.
Considering we had no 1st rd pick last yr either, this yr was worse. I can't wait for next yrs draft, especially if we pick 32nd. It is gambling at its best, and with a Reuben, at its worst. The takeaway for us, hopefully, is that if we ever do this again, it better be with tons of college data, in a 4 yr starter, and not with a leap of faith based on 1 yr in a small college division, with the second yr being a covid void. No way to know for sure, but KS/JL both know now about "reaches", and won't be taken in by one again. Somebody mentioned Mahomes, the best QB in football, better than AR or Brady. But there, there was a couple yrs of football gymnastics on film that were off the chart at a major school, Texas Tech, who played against big time universities. There was no reaching there, yet he still didn't come off til Reid nailed him at #10 or 11. But there was plenty of proof for Mahomes, and that is the takeaway. Don't go nutty with multiple 1st, 2nd and 3rd round pick trades unless you have data…PROOF…that makes a multi rd jump up in draft proving that player's worth.
[ Edited by pasodoc9er on May 3, 2023 at 6:27 PM ]