Originally posted by OnTheClock:
Originally posted by thl408:
Originally posted by tankle104:
Originally posted by tankle104:
#49ers' most popular choice of personnel grouping this season is 21 personnel (2 RBs, 1 TE, 2 WR).
— Akash Anavarathan (@akashanav) December 21, 2023
They run 21 personnel about 42% of the time this season.
Ravens have only faced 5 snaps of 21 personnel this season, definitely a new wrinkle they'll have to prepare for.
for the folks who know a lot more about how this will impact the ravens than I do, any takes on how this gives us an advantage?
Digging further into the numbers about the Ravens' defense:
— Akash Anavarathan (@akashanav) December 20, 2023
When they're in base personnel (3 LBs):
* They're 26th in EPA/Pass
When they're in nickel personnel (5 DBs):
* They're 23rd in EPA/Run
Feels like an opportunity for Shanahan to manipulate personnel groupings + attack.
Nice! Get ready for an even heavier dose of 21. That second tweet really stands out and plays into the hands of why the 49ers love 21 personnel, its versitility. If they want to treat CMC like a RB, which they should (3 LBs), then throw the ball. When the 49ers have some success throwing, perhaps BAL puts in a third CB instead of a third LB, then run the ball. Amazing that BAL's defense has only faced five snaps against 21 personnel all season. Their scout team has to learn a new offense this week.
That seems unconscionable. 5 snaps? All year? And we're in Week 16?
I swear there's going to be a shift back to fullbacks being used in offenses. The league flows back and forth regarding offense/defense philosophy. For awhile now, the emphasis has been on getting rangy LBs that can cover, and prioritizing the slot CB, making the SAM LB some dude that barely gets snaps. Nowadays the nickel CB is more of a starter than the SAM LB. I predict that at some point in the next five years, it's going to swing back towards more running between the tackles, with a fullback, and less 3WRs so often. And if teams don't want a fullback, then a second TE.