Originally posted by BigT:
So because I am just one of those guys I will tell you upfront I am a football fan first and a Chiefs fan second. I came here before the last SB in 19 and have been involved in forums of the Eagles ( never again) the Ravens ( probably not going back) and the Bills ( been there 3-4 years and love their fans). Don't judge me by Chiefsplanet as it's hard to weed through the idiots over there.
first off I have read through most of this thread and wow what a difference from 19. Some chest beating mixed with a lot of angst. Your offense is light years ahead of where they were in 19 and pose a substantial challenge to any DC. I do have concerns for how we will cover everyone while holding that unicorn CMC somewhat in check. I have heard some talking about a blowout. I seriously doubt that as Spags is a defensive genius and has the guys to pull it off. Unfortunately I see it as a nail biter 28-24 pick 'em we may hold you to 28 but I have no confidence we can score more than that. We have had multiple issues. One is McKinnon who is a TD machine and our best blocking back. Hardman is back but after the fumble in Buffalo who knows.
This team is nothing like the team that played Tampa. Mahomes is a QB now, he was just a guy that ran around and waited for Hill to get open then. He is fully satisfied now to take check downs and throw for 250. Back then it was holding the ball and throwing deep.
the only way to stop Kelce is hit him off the line. If you do that he will get frustrated and disengage a bit. I have seen it happen when teams have done it.
You guys should be amazed by Purdy. I have pulled for him since he started playing for you. I watched him play for Iowa State and put up almost 400 on my Jayhawks. The fact he has achieved what he has so far is amazing. This is a legacy game for him. I doubt that the moment will be too big for him, but our defense will be the best he has seen. Sneed has shut down everyone from Hill to Jefferson and allowed his first TD against Buffalo two weeks ago. It was a perfect throw and an even better catch. McDuffie is nearly as good. It should be a hell of a game.
What's up BigT, we like it when opposing fans come here and chat it up. At first I was one of the chest beaters, thinking that the Ravens choked, that the Bills were injured and choked, but digging into what the Chiefs are doing on defense has changed my tune quite a bit. What they've been doing to teams in the 2nd half of games is crazy. The niners are going to need to start hot in this game and keep that intensity throughout, if they stutter out the gate like they have the past two games they're going to have a bad time. On paper our outside zone runs with CMC is a massive advantage against the Chiefs D who struggle with those, but Miami couldn't pull it off with Mostert and the Ravens didn't stick with the run game at all when it wasn't working early. That's the matchup I'm looking forward to the most. Purdy and this passing O has the highest efficiency in the league and one of the best ever, but that's a strength on strength matchup and we will need to pound it early and often to have success with that. Shanahan likes to get cute sometimes though, thinking he's outsmarting the other coach by doing what they won't expect and it backfires when he starts throwing all the time when he should be running it. I hope he knows this is not the game to try that.
We're also praying that Steve Wilks doesn't just run a bunch of vanilla shell zones to give Mahomes all the time he needs to find Kelce or Rice while Bosa is being basically tackled to the ground all game. We don't run a lot of man defense but we did last week in the 2nd half comeback and will have to against Mahomes. After losing our all pro safety Hufanga and DE Ferrell our run defense has been pretty bad, Chase Young has been getting a lot of heat due to an inability to set the edge so you'll be seeing a lot of runs in his direction. However they do tighten up in the 2nd half and in the red zone (usually). I'm really worried about the Chiefs running screen after screen because that is something this defense has trouble with sometimes.
If the Chiefs win this game it will have been the most difficult playoff run ever per DVOA. What are your thoughts on why the Chiefs are playing at such a high level after the somewhat down season they had?
[ Edited by KowboyKiller on Feb 1, 2024 at 1:31 PM ]