Originally posted by RonnieLott:
That is crap. These so called field experts are paid by the NFL so what else would they say?!?!?!?!
What to expect from Brock Purdy vs. Chiefs
Purdy is going to face a test against a Chiefs defense that has been great for most of the season and is heating up at the right time. Opponents have just six passing touchdowns in Kansas City's past six games and are completing 64.7 percent of their passes for 219.3 yards per game with an average passer rating of 88.2.
Those numbers closely align with what Purdy has posted against top-eight NFL defenses this year, as he averages 213 passing yards per game against them with a passer rating of 85.1. Thus, it's fair to expect that he will probably have a similar stat line with one or two passing touchdowns and perhaps interceptions.
If Purdy can put together that kind of performance, it would certainly be respectable, but would it be enough for the 49ers to outduel Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the Super Bowl? Probably not.
The Chiefs allowed just 17.3 points per game during the regular season and are allowing 13.7 per game in the postseason. So, barring a stellar effort from either Christian McCaffrey or the 49ers defense to help close the scoring gap between the two teams, Purdy will have to outperform his averages in this tough matchup to take home a Lombardi Trophy for the first time.
Postseason stats are funny in that they differ greatly from regular season, but the actual Super Bowl itself once the game "gets going" seems to have less bearing on the postseason than you think.
Often the conference championship games are the most intense, while the super bowl I think given 2 weeks of preparation allows some pushback for the offense. Last year's Super Bowl was pretty high scoring, despite some good defenses.
Then you have the last Patriots/Rams Super Bowl which was very low scoring despite a prolific Rams offense that season, and New England which usually is a good offense (although they usually don't score much early in the Super Bowls, the entire Belichick run).
While we figured in the last 49er super Bowl they would find a way to shut down KC (and largely did), few would've expected their not so elite defense (compared to this year's team) to get all the stops needed to keep them in the game and put it away when needed. I think that was a lesser talked part of SB 54, was that this offense that had its way in the playoffs didn't do much in the Super Bowl.
It's really hard to predict how it will go down.
[ Edited by JTsBiggestFan on Feb 5, 2024 at 4:07 PM ]
