Stats and Strats: Matchup preview vs Chiefs - 2023 Season Super Bowl

Originally posted by thl408:

Originally posted by Dirtydonedirtcheap69:

Originally posted by thl408:
This is one example of why Kittle and CMC must be relied upon to carry the load in the passing game. Throwing to Aiyuk is going against a strength of the KC defense.

Aiyuk ran 82% of his routes this season lined up on the outside

the Chiefs allowed just 6.7 yards per target to boundary WRs this year (second) with a 51% catch rate allowed (second) and 1,311 receiving yards allowed (fourth)

read more on his matchup:https://t.co/fziLMspvUO

— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) February 5, 2024

How often did they play against Aiyuk? Will they single him?

KC might trust their CBs to single him - they have good CBs and they like to play man. I think they are top3 at frequency in calling man coverage, something like that. Aiyuk must be on his game to get separation. There are better matchups for the 49ers that doesn't involve the Chief CBs.

I believe in Aiyuk to beat man coverage. Winning teams focus on their strengths.

Originally posted by Dirtydonedirtcheap69:

Originally posted by thl408:

Originally posted by Dirtydonedirtcheap69:

Originally posted by thl408:
This is one example of why Kittle and CMC must be relied upon to carry the load in the passing game. Throwing to Aiyuk is going against a strength of the KC defense.

Aiyuk ran 82% of his routes this season lined up on the outside

the Chiefs allowed just 6.7 yards per target to boundary WRs this year (second) with a 51% catch rate allowed (second) and 1,311 receiving yards allowed (fourth)

read more on his matchup:https://t.co/fziLMspvUO

— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) February 5, 2024

How often did they play against Aiyuk? Will they single him?

KC might trust their CBs to single him - they have good CBs and they like to play man. I think they are top3 at frequency in calling man coverage, something like that. Aiyuk must be on his game to get separation. There are better matchups for the 49ers that doesn't involve the Chief CBs.

I believe in Aiyuk to beat man coverage. Winning teams focus on their strengths.

Winning teams focus on exploiting mismatches.

Good piece here's a snippet:

Spagnuolo has been lauded for teaching a masterclass on blitzing in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC championship game in Baltimore vs. the presumptive MVP in Lamar Jackson. The Chiefs blitzed 20 times in that game. All 20 were different blitzes in terms of who blitzed, from where and with what coverage. Let that sink in. Twenty blitzes. All different.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-super-bowl-49ers-could-have-answers-for-steve-spagnuolo-and-the-chiefs-vaunted-blitz-attack-heres-how/

We are the top squad against the blitz, I don't think we'll see all the DB blitzes you had on Lamar, a lot of those are to help contain

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Good piece here's a snippet:

Spagnuolo has been lauded for teaching a masterclass on blitzing in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC championship game in Baltimore vs. the presumptive MVP in Lamar Jackson. The Chiefs blitzed 20 times in that game. All 20 were different blitzes in terms of who blitzed, from where and with what coverage. Let that sink in. Twenty blitzes. All different.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-super-bowl-49ers-could-have-answers-for-steve-spagnuolo-and-the-chiefs-vaunted-blitz-attack-heres-how/

We are the top squad against the blitz, I don't think we'll see all the DB blitzes you had on Lamar, a lot of those are to help contain

Good link. On the two BAL vs KC plays. The first one had a short crosser that Lamar didn't see - Brock would hit that short crosser. And, CMC is going to do a better job with pass pro than what the BAL runningback did.
The second play had no short route for Lamar.
49ers OL needs to be on their game because KC will test them with these exotic pressure packages. Kyle needs to find the right balance between max protection on some plays, and putting the responsibility on Brock to quickly process and get the ball out while not max protecting on some plays. A well timed screen pass to CMC would severely punish these blitzes (shown in article).

Originally posted by thl408:

Originally posted by Dirtydonedirtcheap69:

Originally posted by thl408:

Originally posted by Dirtydonedirtcheap69:

Originally posted by thl408:
This is one example of why Kittle and CMC must be relied upon to carry the load in the passing game. Throwing to Aiyuk is going against a strength of the KC defense.

Aiyuk ran 82% of his routes this season lined up on the outside

the Chiefs allowed just 6.7 yards per target to boundary WRs this year (second) with a 51% catch rate allowed (second) and 1,311 receiving yards allowed (fourth)

read more on his matchup:https://t.co/fziLMspvUO

— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) February 5, 2024

How often did they play against Aiyuk? Will they single him?

KC might trust their CBs to single him - they have good CBs and they like to play man. I think they are top3 at frequency in calling man coverage, something like that. Aiyuk must be on his game to get separation. There are better matchups for the 49ers that doesn't involve the Chief CBs.

I believe in Aiyuk to beat man coverage. Winning teams focus on their strengths.

Winning teams focus on exploiting mismatches.

Aiyuk 1:1 is a mismatch with any corner in the league

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Good piece here's a snippet:

Spagnuolo has been lauded for teaching a masterclass on blitzing in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC championship game in Baltimore vs. the presumptive MVP in Lamar Jackson. The Chiefs blitzed 20 times in that game. All 20 were different blitzes in terms of who blitzed, from where and with what coverage. Let that sink in. Twenty blitzes. All different.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-super-bowl-49ers-could-have-answers-for-steve-spagnuolo-and-the-chiefs-vaunted-blitz-attack-heres-how/

We are the top squad against the blitz, I don't think we'll see all the DB blitzes you had on Lamar, a lot of those are to help contain

Funny, I thought Wilks was going to be this way. Once he got burned early in the season, that was about it, it seems.

Originally posted by NCommand:

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Good piece here's a snippet:

Spagnuolo has been lauded for teaching a masterclass on blitzing in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC championship game in Baltimore vs. the presumptive MVP in Lamar Jackson. The Chiefs blitzed 20 times in that game. All 20 were different blitzes in terms of who blitzed, from where and with what coverage. Let that sink in. Twenty blitzes. All different.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-super-bowl-49ers-could-have-answers-for-steve-spagnuolo-and-the-chiefs-vaunted-blitz-attack-heres-how/

We are the top squad against the blitz, I don't think we'll see all the DB blitzes you had on Lamar, a lot of those are to help contain

Funny, I thought Wilks was going to be this way. Once he got burned early in the season, that was about it, it seems.

Wilks can get pressure without blitzes, so I think that's why he doesn't blitz much.

Lots of recency bias going into this game. The Chiefs, playing the underdog role, outclassed the Bills and Ravens en route to the Super Bowl. The Niners, who were heavily favored in their matchups, needed miracle comebacks in their respective games.

If the Super Bowl matchup had been set before the playoffs, I suspect the Niners would have been heavy favorites to win it. The Chiefs were a shell of their former selves, at one time boasting a 9-6 record after losing to a lowly Raiders team than passed the ball I think 8 times. Outside the Ravens game, the Niners were basically rolling over their opponents before a December slump which made the defense look pedestrian.

Outside of QB (and ST), we have the better overall metrics in all facets of the game. With that said, Mahomes is the ultimate negater. If we can slow him down, I don't think KC can keep up with this team. But can we slow him down ?

Originally posted by Giedi:

Originally posted by NCommand:

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Good piece here's a snippet:

Spagnuolo has been lauded for teaching a masterclass on blitzing in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC championship game in Baltimore vs. the presumptive MVP in Lamar Jackson. The Chiefs blitzed 20 times in that game. All 20 were different blitzes in terms of who blitzed, from where and with what coverage. Let that sink in. Twenty blitzes. All different.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-super-bowl-49ers-could-have-answers-for-steve-spagnuolo-and-the-chiefs-vaunted-blitz-attack-heres-how/

We are the top squad against the blitz, I don't think we'll see all the DB blitzes you had on Lamar, a lot of those are to help contain

Funny, I thought Wilks was going to be this way. Once he got burned early in the season, that was about it, it seems.

Wilks can get pressure without blitzes, so I think that's why he doesn't blitz much.

It's especially key to get pressure with only 4 vs KC. If our D line plays up to their expectations, we should. Hopefully having 2 out of the last 5 weeks off has rested them.

Originally posted by Giedi:

Originally posted by NCommand:

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Good piece here's a snippet:

Spagnuolo has been lauded for teaching a masterclass on blitzing in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC championship game in Baltimore vs. the presumptive MVP in Lamar Jackson. The Chiefs blitzed 20 times in that game. All 20 were different blitzes in terms of who blitzed, from where and with what coverage. Let that sink in. Twenty blitzes. All different.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-super-bowl-49ers-could-have-answers-for-steve-spagnuolo-and-the-chiefs-vaunted-blitz-attack-heres-how/

We are the top squad against the blitz, I don't think we'll see all the DB blitzes you had on Lamar, a lot of those are to help contain

Funny, I thought Wilks was going to be this way. Once he got burned early in the season, that was about it, it seems.

Wilks can get pressure without blitzes, so I think that's why he doesn't blitz much.

No he can't. That's why the dline has been such a disappointment. With all that talent, you'd expect them to bring pressure consistently. They just don't.

Originally posted by Giedi:

Originally posted by NCommand:

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Good piece here's a snippet:

Spagnuolo has been lauded for teaching a masterclass on blitzing in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC championship game in Baltimore vs. the presumptive MVP in Lamar Jackson. The Chiefs blitzed 20 times in that game. All 20 were different blitzes in terms of who blitzed, from where and with what coverage. Let that sink in. Twenty blitzes. All different.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-super-bowl-49ers-could-have-answers-for-steve-spagnuolo-and-the-chiefs-vaunted-blitz-attack-heres-how/

We are the top squad against the blitz, I don't think we'll see all the DB blitzes you had on Lamar, a lot of those are to help contain

Funny, I thought Wilks was going to be this way. Once he got burned early in the season, that was about it, it seems.

Wilks can get pressure without blitzes, so I think that's why he doesn't blitz much.

I like balance. The point of the Wilks hire was his ability to coach up and scheme the secondary to another level while also complimenting the massive amount of resources spent on the DL with exotic and timely blitzes.

Originally posted by DrEll:

Originally posted by Giedi:

Originally posted by NCommand:

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Good piece here's a snippet:

Spagnuolo has been lauded for teaching a masterclass on blitzing in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC championship game in Baltimore vs. the presumptive MVP in Lamar Jackson. The Chiefs blitzed 20 times in that game. All 20 were different blitzes in terms of who blitzed, from where and with what coverage. Let that sink in. Twenty blitzes. All different.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-super-bowl-49ers-could-have-answers-for-steve-spagnuolo-and-the-chiefs-vaunted-blitz-attack-heres-how/

We are the top squad against the blitz, I don't think we'll see all the DB blitzes you had on Lamar, a lot of those are to help contain

Funny, I thought Wilks was going to be this way. Once he got burned early in the season, that was about it, it seems.

Wilks can get pressure without blitzes, so I think that's why he doesn't blitz much.

No he can't. That's why the dline has been such a disappointment. With all that talent, you'd expect them to bring pressure consistently. They just don't.

They're top 3 in presssures. Stats are REAL easy to find.

Originally posted by NCommand:

Originally posted by Giedi:

Originally posted by NCommand:

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Good piece here's a snippet:

Spagnuolo has been lauded for teaching a masterclass on blitzing in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC championship game in Baltimore vs. the presumptive MVP in Lamar Jackson. The Chiefs blitzed 20 times in that game. All 20 were different blitzes in terms of who blitzed, from where and with what coverage. Let that sink in. Twenty blitzes. All different.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-super-bowl-49ers-could-have-answers-for-steve-spagnuolo-and-the-chiefs-vaunted-blitz-attack-heres-how/

We are the top squad against the blitz, I don't think we'll see all the DB blitzes you had on Lamar, a lot of those are to help contain

Funny, I thought Wilks was going to be this way. Once he got burned early in the season, that was about it, it seems.

Wilks can get pressure without blitzes, so I think that's why he doesn't blitz much.

I like balance. The point of the Wilks hire was his ability to coach up and scheme the secondary to another level while also complimenting the massive amount of resources spent on the DL with exotic and timely blitzes.

Wilks doesn't have to do some magical SB scheme...just cover the f**king basics

Last game we gave up 1st downs against 3rd and 8/10/12/14

Opposing offenses should not be converting 3rd and longs against this defense

Originally posted by Dirtydonedirtcheap69:

Originally posted by thl408:

Originally posted by Dirtydonedirtcheap69:

Originally posted by thl408:
This is one example of why Kittle and CMC must be relied upon to carry the load in the passing game. Throwing to Aiyuk is going against a strength of the KC defense.

Aiyuk ran 82% of his routes this season lined up on the outside

the Chiefs allowed just 6.7 yards per target to boundary WRs this year (second) with a 51% catch rate allowed (second) and 1,311 receiving yards allowed (fourth)

read more on his matchup:https://t.co/fziLMspvUO

— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) February 5, 2024

How often did they play against Aiyuk? Will they single him?

KC might trust their CBs to single him - they have good CBs and they like to play man. I think they are top3 at frequency in calling man coverage, something like that. Aiyuk must be on his game to get separation. There are better matchups for the 49ers that doesn't involve the Chief CBs.

I believe in Aiyuk to beat man coverage. Winning teams focus on their strengths.

Kyle is going to call some plays with JJ on the outside and Aiyuk in the slot

Originally posted by Cosmo:

Originally posted by DrEll:

Originally posted by Giedi:

Originally posted by NCommand:

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:
Good piece here's a snippet:

Spagnuolo has been lauded for teaching a masterclass on blitzing in the Chiefs' 17-10 AFC championship game in Baltimore vs. the presumptive MVP in Lamar Jackson. The Chiefs blitzed 20 times in that game. All 20 were different blitzes in terms of who blitzed, from where and with what coverage. Let that sink in. Twenty blitzes. All different.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-super-bowl-49ers-could-have-answers-for-steve-spagnuolo-and-the-chiefs-vaunted-blitz-attack-heres-how/

We are the top squad against the blitz, I don't think we'll see all the DB blitzes you had on Lamar, a lot of those are to help contain

Funny, I thought Wilks was going to be this way. Once he got burned early in the season, that was about it, it seems.

Wilks can get pressure without blitzes, so I think that's why he doesn't blitz much.

No he can't. That's why the dline has been such a disappointment. With all that talent, you'd expect them to bring pressure consistently. They just don't.

They're top 3 in presssures. Stats are REAL easy to find.

Numbers don't do it justice. We're also top 3 in rushing yards allowed per game. No one is going to defend that we have a top 5 running D. Context means everything.