Should the 49ers Have Deferred on the OT Kickoff

A little analytics on OT decision:
https://ninerswire.usatoday.com/2024/02/18/nfl-playoff-overtime-rules-kick-or-receive-analytics/
https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2024/2/14/24072644/super-bowl-overtime-controversy-rules-kick-or-receive-analytics-playoffs-regular-season

It seems prety close to 50:50 and the fact that our defense was last on the pitch before OT, receive the ball was the right decision!

lots of things to complain about this one, not so much.

Originally posted by btthepunk:
Wouldn't have made a difference.

If KC scores a TD first then the 49ers know exactly what they need to do. Makes that 3rd and 4 in OT completely different.

Originally posted by rorrim:
A little analytics on OT decision:
https://ninerswire.usatoday.com/2024/02/18/nfl-playoff-overtime-rules-kick-or-receive-analytics/
https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2024/2/14/24072644/super-bowl-overtime-controversy-rules-kick-or-receive-analytics-playoffs-regular-season

It seems prety close to 50:50 and the fact that our defense was last on the pitch before OT, receive the ball was the right decision!

I think this may have decided it. The defense just got off the field after a long drive.

Otherwise, you defer taking advantage of 4th and knowing what is needed to win.

Originally posted by Jcool:

Originally posted by btthepunk:
Wouldn't have made a difference.

If KC scores a TD first then the 49ers know exactly what they need to do. Makes that 3rd and 4 in OT completely different.

The 4th down is a big advantage, I doubt KC goes for it on their 35 yard line on 4th and 1.

Originally posted by TD49ers:

Originally posted by Jcool:

Originally posted by btthepunk:
Wouldn't have made a difference.

If KC scores a TD first then the 49ers know exactly what they need to do. Makes that 3rd and 4 in OT completely different.

The 4th down is a big advantage, I doubt KC goes for it on their 35 yard line on 4th and 1.

Exactly. We have data from the game itself to show why this was a bad decision.

Originally posted by CardinalGold:

Originally posted by TD49ers:

Originally posted by Jcool:

Originally posted by btthepunk:
Wouldn't have made a difference.

If KC scores a TD first then the 49ers know exactly what they need to do. Makes that 3rd and 4 in OT completely different.

The 4th down is a big advantage, I doubt KC goes for it on their 35 yard line on 4th and 1.

Exactly. We have data from the game itself to show why this was a bad decision.

Sorry, they absolutely go for it on the 4th and 1. We know this because they said they would have gone for two had the 9ers scored 7 on the opening OT possession. This is the same decision making as going for it on 4th and 1 instead of punting. KC was committed to winning the game with their offense in OT, not putting the ball in Purdy's hands to drive the field for a GW FG try. Arguably, going for two on the second possession TD would be riskier than going for 4th and 1 on an initial possession, and they've signaled that's what they would have done, so there's your evidence.

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:

Who cares what the actual players think? Open ai and Siri said Kyle is smart! 😂

Originally posted by Cisco0623:

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:

Who cares what the actual players think? Open ai and Siri said Kyle is smart! 😂

Maybe that's our analytics team?

When the opposing team is celebrating your decision as HC.. you done effed up.

Yeah, probably.

Does anyone know if the Niners had scored a TD on the first OT possession, could the Chiefs score a field goal for the game to continue or would they have needed to score a TD at least for it to continue?

Originally posted by CardinalGold:

Originally posted by TD49ers:

Originally posted by Jcool:

Originally posted by btthepunk:
Wouldn't have made a difference.

If KC scores a TD first then the 49ers know exactly what they need to do. Makes that 3rd and 4 in OT completely different.

The 4th down is a big advantage, I doubt KC goes for it on their 35 yard line on 4th and 1.

Exactly. We have data from the game itself to show why this was a bad decision.

For the millionth time we have zero clue if KC even GETS to 4th and 1 if they start with the ball. For all we know they score in five plays and put up 8 on us.

Originally posted by Cisco0623:

Originally posted by 49erFaithful6:

Who cares what the actual players think? Open ai and Siri said Kyle is smart! 😂

Its such a silly argument when we have A REAL GAME'S RESULT as ACTUAL DATA lol analytics is destroying sports