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Originally posted by NineFourNiner:
Penultimate Update:
74% predict between 8-12 wins
57% predict between 9-11wins
Through post #304.
Originally posted by NCommand:Originally posted by NineFourNiner:
Penultimate Update:
74% predict between 8-12 wins
57% predict between 9-11wins
Through post #304.
Wow!!!!
8 or more wins = 77% of this board
7 or less wins = 23% of this board
Homers anyone? I know it's a Niner fan board but come on...at least be somewhat realistic. When was the last time we won 8 games?
Originally posted by NineFourNiner:
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Originally posted by NCommand:Originally posted by NineFourNiner:
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Not true - the best predictor for the future is past evidence and let's be honest, we have a recent past of winning a lot less then 8 games. In fact, 2002 was the last time we won more then 8 games. 7 was the highest win total since then.
Now, the cool thing with probability is that eventually these 8+ homers will be right!
I hope this is that year!
It's just not likely or realistic.
Originally posted by NineFourNiner:Originally posted by NCommand:Originally posted by NineFourNiner:
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Not true - the best predictor for the future is past evidence and let's be honest, we have a recent past of winning a lot less then 8 games. In fact, 2002 was the last time we won more then 8 games. 7 was the highest win total since then.
Now, the cool thing with probability is that eventually these 8+ homers will be right!
I hope this is that year!
It's just not likely or realistic.
There are too many variables at play for the past to dictate the future.
Originally posted by NCommand:Originally posted by NineFourNiner:Originally posted by NCommand:Originally posted by NineFourNiner:
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Not true - the best predictor for the future is past evidence and let's be honest, we have a recent past of winning a lot less then 8 games. In fact, 2002 was the last time we won more then 8 games. 7 was the highest win total since then.
Now, the cool thing with probability is that eventually these 8+ homers will be right!
I hope this is that year!
It's just not likely or realistic.
There are too many variables at play for the past to dictate the future.
Unless you are the 49ers, since 2002, where no matter how much money we spend on FA, no matter how many 1st round draft picks we have, we always end up with the same Detroit-like year.
But this year WILL be different - right!?!
Originally posted by NCommand:Originally posted by NineFourNiner:Originally posted by NCommand:Originally posted by NineFourNiner:
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Not true - the best predictor for the future is past evidence and let's be honest, we have a recent past of winning a lot less then 8 games. In fact, 2002 was the last time we won more then 8 games. 7 was the highest win total since then.
Now, the cool thing with probability is that eventually these 8+ homers will be right!
I hope this is that year!
It's just not likely or realistic.
There are too many variables at play for the past to dictate the future.
Unless you are the 49ers, since 2002, where no matter how much money we spend on FA, no matter how many 1st round draft picks we have, we always end up with the same Detroit-like year.
But this year WILL be different - right!?!
