The US' best bet to advance past the group stage is:
- Beat Ghana
- Have the Portugal/Germany game NOT end in a tie
-The US then needs to at least tie against the loser of the Portugal/Germany game.
This way, the US would at least tie for 2nd place most likely and then goal differencial (I believe) would be the deciding factor to advance.
For example:
1st round:
- Germany beats Portugal and US beats Ghana
- Germany and US have 3 points, the others have zero
2nd round:
- US ties Portugal and Germany beats Ghana
- Germany has 6 points, US has 4 points, Portugal has 1 point, Ghana has zero
3rd round:
- Germany beats US and Portugal beats Ghana
- Germany has 9 points, US and Portugal each has 4 points
- Goal difference would decide who advances along with Germany.
Of course, Ghana could surprise and beat/tie one of the other two teams and this could help the US. The key, to me, is the game against Ghana. The US HAS to win that game.
[ Edited by NinerAce on Jun 12, 2014 at 6:18 AM ]